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业绩抢眼,股价跌近11%,九方智投为何“高台跳水”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 13:24
Core Viewpoint - Jiufang Zhitu Holdings (09636.HK) experienced a significant stock price drop of 10.98% after a strong opening, raising concerns among investors despite a substantial increase in its stock price over the past year [2][7]. Financial Performance - The company announced a profit forecast for the first half of the year, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders between 830 million and 870 million RMB, a turnaround from a loss of 174 million RMB in the same period last year [4]. - Revenue for the first half is projected to be approximately 2.1 billion RMB, representing an increase of 1.202 billion RMB compared to the previous year [4]. - The surge in revenue and profit is attributed to the strong sales of the company's investor education products, with expected order amounts reaching 1.703 billion RMB, an increase of 772 million RMB year-on-year [5]. Market Context - Jiufang Zhitu Holdings operates in a sector closely tied to the performance of capital markets, which have been active since September 2022, contributing to the company's significant performance improvement [5][6]. - The overall market environment has seen increased trading activity, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching 3,500 points, leading to heightened investor confidence and demand for the company's products and services [6][7]. Investor Sentiment and Risks - Despite the positive financial outlook, investor sentiment turned negative, leading to a sell-off as concerns about the sustainability of the stock's high valuation emerged, with a dynamic P/E ratio of approximately 70, higher than industry peers [7]. - The company's reliance on live-stream marketing has raised compliance concerns, especially after regulatory scrutiny regarding "illegal stock recommendations" [7]. - There are reports of user complaints regarding misleading marketing practices, which have contributed to a trust crisis for the company, raising questions about its future ability to regain investor confidence [7].