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上半年光伏产业困境依旧 行业深度调整或仍未结束
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 07:18
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry continues to face significant challenges, with many companies reporting losses in their 2025 semi-annual reports, indicating that the industry's deep adjustment may not be over yet [1][3][6]. Industry Performance - As of August 26, 30 listed photovoltaic companies have released their 2025 semi-annual reports, with 20 companies experiencing a year-on-year decline in revenue and 15 companies reporting net losses [3][4]. - Notable companies such as Longi Green Energy reported a revenue decline of 14.83% and a net loss of 2.569 billion yuan, while Tongwei reported a revenue decline of 7.51% and a net loss of 4.955 billion yuan [3][4]. Market Dynamics - The industry has seen some positive effects from self-regulation efforts initiated in the second half of last year, with prices for polysilicon and silicon wafers stabilizing [8]. - However, the pace of inventory reduction remains below expectations, and the overall market demand is showing signs of slowing down due to the end of the "rush installation" trend [8][9]. Demand and Supply Challenges - The demand side is expected to face negative impacts from demand exhaustion as the "rush installation" trend subsides [6][8]. - The industry is experiencing a significant decline in production growth rates, with battery cell and module production growth dropping below 15% [8]. International Market Uncertainties - The global photovoltaic market is slowing down, with traditional overseas markets shrinking and emerging markets like Latin America and the Middle East growing but not significantly impacting overall growth [9][10]. - Recent changes in U.S. clean energy policies have raised concerns among companies about expanding into international markets [10]. Technological Innovation - Companies are increasingly relying on technological innovation to navigate the industry's challenges, with some focusing on next-generation photovoltaic technologies like perovskite [11][12]. - However, the current low profit margins and intense competition in the crystalline silicon market are hindering the promotion and application of new technologies [12]. Regulatory and Market Support - Industry insiders emphasize the need for stronger regulatory measures to address issues like "virtual power" and "lowering quality control," which are detrimental to innovation [12]. - There is a call for government intervention to facilitate market consolidation and support the exit of outdated production capacities [12].
上半年光伏产业困境依旧,行业深度调整或仍未结束
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 07:09
Group 1 - The core issue facing the photovoltaic industry is ongoing losses, with many leading companies reporting significant declines in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 [1][2][4] - As of August 26, 2025, 30 listed photovoltaic companies have released their semi-annual reports, with 20 companies experiencing a year-on-year revenue decline and 15 companies reporting net losses [2][3] - Notable losses include Longi Green Energy with a revenue decline of 14.83% and a net loss of 2.569 billion yuan, Tongwei with a revenue decline of 7.51% and a net loss of 4.955 billion yuan, and JA Solar with a revenue decline of 36.01% and a net loss of 2.58 billion yuan [2][3] Group 2 - Despite some leading companies showing signs of reduced losses, the industry is still undergoing deep adjustments, with a potential negative impact from demand exhaustion in the second half of the year [4][5] - The photovoltaic industry has seen some stabilization in prices for polysilicon and silicon wafers due to self-regulation efforts, but the pace of inventory reduction remains below expectations [5][6] - The industry faces challenges from a lack of mandatory self-regulation, especially during critical times for companies, leading to concerns about pricing strategies and market share [6][7] Group 3 - As the domestic photovoltaic market approaches saturation, companies are increasingly looking for growth opportunities overseas, but external uncertainties are causing hesitation [7][8] - Recent changes in U.S. clean energy policies have raised concerns among companies about the feasibility of expanding into international markets, particularly in Southeast Asia and the Middle East [7][8] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade policies are reshaping supply chains and complicating international collaborations in photovoltaic technology [8][9] Group 4 - Companies are exploring new technologies such as perovskite solar cells and advanced silicon products (TOPCon, HJT, BC) to overcome current industry challenges, but consensus on the best technological path is lacking [9][10] - The low profit margins in the industry are hindering innovation in supporting sectors, and the competitive pressure from leading companies is affecting smaller firms' ability to invest in new technologies [9][10] - There is a call for stronger government regulation to address issues like false power ratings and quality control, which are seen as critical for fostering innovation and ensuring market stability [10]