证券研究报告 AI交易切换：重视国产算力和电力建设 ——每周主题、产业趋势交易复盘和展望 证券分析师：陈刚 执业证书编号：S0600523040001 邮箱：cheng@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理：孔思迈 执业证书编号：S0600124070019 邮箱：kongsm@dwzq.com.cn 2026年3月1日 注：本报告所涉及个股/公司仅代表与产业或交易热点有关联，所引述资讯/数据/观点仅以展示为目的，不构成投资建议，个股层面请参照东吴证券研究所各行业组所推荐标的。 目录 1、本周市场回顾 2、产业趋势交易回顾与展望 3 注：本报告所涉及个股/公司仅代表与产业或交易热点有关联，所引述资讯/数据/观点仅以展示为目的，不构成投资建议，个股层面请参照东吴证券研究所各行业组所推荐标的。 3、风险提示 2 注：本报告所涉及个股/公司仅代表与产业或交易热点有关联，所引述资讯/数据/观点仅以展示为目的，不构成投资建议，个股层面请参照东吴证券研究所各行业组所推荐标的。 1. 本周市场回顾 注：本周交易日为2月24日-27日 （如无特殊说明）后文同 ✓ 本周全A日均成交2.44万亿，环比节前一周放量超3000亿 图：万 ...

东吴证券表示，2026年光伏设备行业将进入"技术升级驱动的新一轮结构性扩产窗口"，工信部提高效 率、水耗与资本金门槛，政策方向利好高效率与低能耗路线，新技术产业化将带动设备增量需求。海外 地面需求与太空算力场景打开成为行业增长双引擎，美国、中东等地扩产需求明确，国产设备"借船出 海"逻辑强化。 金辰股份：公司拥有PERTOP + HJT+钙钛矿+组件设备多轮驱动，同时卧式PVD设备成功出货，成功切 入半导体新领域。 光大证券认为，美国光伏产能扩张离不开中国设备与技术支撑，中国光伏主产业链各环节产能全球占比 已提升至90%左右，设备技术实力、量产能力与可靠性经过充分验证，在海外供应链重塑中具备核心竞 争力。 光伏产业链上下游呈现协同发展态势，硅片端聚焦低氧单晶炉与薄片化，电池片端HJT、钙钛矿-晶硅 叠层等高效路线加速推进，组件端集中于0BB、叠栅及高功率封装方案，技术迭代推动全产业链设备需 求升级。 该技术核心优势显著：材料来源广泛，主要元素地壳储量丰富，不依赖稀有金属，材料成本低；采用溶 液法制备，搭配薄膜电池结构，制备成本与材料用量双重可控；且不含毒元素，安全环保，在复杂环境 中仍能稳定发挥性能，被业内认 ...

是什么促使内外资机构突然变得如此乐观？ 2026年2月9日股市复盘：攻势如虹，价值领航 今日A股气势如虹，大盘高歌猛进，开盘即奠定了全天强势基调。沪指以超过4100点的高位开盘，三大指数集体飘红。与以往冲高回落的走 势不同，今日大盘稳扎稳打，步步攀升，如同拾阶而上。午后虽有短暂横盘，但抛压轻微，显示市场惜售情绪浓厚。尾盘时段，甚至出现资 金主动抢筹的迹象。最终，三大指数均以接近全天最高点收盘，尤其是上证指数，收出一根气势逼人的光头阳线，技术上呈现出强势多头信 号，预示买盘力量占据绝对优势。 此轮上涨行情中，大金融板块尤其是券商股，扮演了核心驱动角色。锦龙股份率先封板，华泰证券、中信证券等头部券商纷纷大幅跟涨。券 商股素有"行情风向标"和"发动机"之称，它们的集体发力，极大地提振了市场信心，直接拉动指数上行，为市场注入了一剂强心剂。 除了券商板块，科技成长和新能源无疑是今日盘面上的耀眼明星。半导体、通信设备、光伏设备等板块成为资金重点涌入的领域。数据显 示，仅半导体板块就吸金53.19亿元，通信设备板块紧随其后，净流入52.95亿元，光伏设备板块也获得了48.71亿元的资金注入。这三大板块 合计吸引了超过150 ...

图片来源：视觉中国 "果链"之后，中国制造迎来了一个新名词："马链"。 马斯克团队近日低调造访数家中国光伏企业，让一个还在价格战泥沼中苦苦挣扎的行业，忽然间站上 了"太空+AI"这个全新故事的舞台中心。 马斯克畅想的是，把高能耗的AI训练和为其提供能源的光伏电站一起搬到太空中，那里"永远是晴天"， 阳光无限量供应，光伏发电能力可达地面数倍。在最近参与的一档将近3小时的播客里，他给出了具体 预测：只需36个月，太空就将成为部署AI的最便宜去处，那里不受地面电网、土地和冷却水的制约， 太阳能辐射稳定得像"永动机"。 于是， 一个全新的用电场景——太空算力，让一个已在低谷中徘徊数年、普通人眼中枯燥乏味的制造 业行业一夜之间披上了前沿技术的外衣，变得"性感"起来。 热度之下，一众光伏公司的估值迅速抬升。在马斯克团队来访消息传出后，晶科、天合光能、隆基等几 家光伏组件龙头的股价及相关指数大涨，一举扭转板块此前多月的疲软走势。 冷静看，这些涨幅多数建立在"可能合作"的预期与新奇叙事引发的躁动情绪之上，而没有真实的订单作 为依托。已有分析师援引在太空建电站的工程难度、马斯克一向的"过度承诺而交付不足"，以及他很可 能只是在 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a strong rally on February 9, with major indices rising across the board and over 4600 stocks increasing in value, indicating active trading sentiment [1][12] - A total of 99 stocks hit the daily limit up, with high-end manufacturing sectors emerging as the primary focus for capital [1] Sector Performance - The high-end manufacturing sector, particularly the electrical equipment industry, showed significant activity, with 17 stocks reaching the limit up, outperforming other sectors [1] - The market displayed a preference for "arbitrage" rather than "creating new trends," with institutions and retail investors not forming a cohesive strategy [2] Key Investment Themes - The core investment themes identified include photovoltaic technology, AI applications, and nuclear fusion, with a notable focus on technology leaders rather than mere capacity expansion [1] - The CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) concept surged by 7.20%, driven by multiple factors including policy support, technological breakthroughs, and increased overseas demand [10][11] Capital Flow Analysis - Significant capital inflow was observed in the communication sector, which rose by 5.17% with nearly 20 billion yuan entering the market, reflecting strong investor interest [5][6] - The top five stocks receiving major capital inflows were primarily in the communication and AI sectors, with NewEase and Tianfu Communication leading the way [7][9] Stock Performance - The stock performance analysis indicated that 79 stocks reached the first limit up, while only 10 advanced to the second limit up, showing a cautious approach from investors [4] - The CPO concept stocks, which have a high weight in the ChiNext 50 index, contributed to a 2.95% increase in the ChiNext 50 ETF, enhancing the attractiveness of the sector [12]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a strong upward trend, with high-end manufacturing sectors becoming the main focus of capital, driven by policy support and expectations of industrial upgrades [4][5][21]. Group 1: Market Performance - On February 9, the A-share market saw a significant rise, with major indices increasing across the board and over 4600 stocks rising [4][24]. - The number of stocks hitting the daily limit was 99, indicating active trading sentiment [4]. - The overall market capitalization exceeded 2.2 trillion yuan, reflecting a substantial increase in trading volume compared to the previous day [24]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - High-end manufacturing sectors, particularly the electrical equipment sector, showed remarkable performance, with 17 stocks hitting the daily limit [5][4]. - The core focus areas for capital include photovoltaic technology, AI applications, and nuclear fusion, with leading companies like TCL Zhonghuan and GCL-Poly experiencing significant price increases [5][21]. - The CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) concept surged by 7.20%, driven by a combination of policy support, technological breakthroughs, and increased overseas demand [18][21]. Group 3: Capital Flow - The communication sector led with a 5.17% increase and nearly 20 billion yuan in capital inflow, indicating strong market interest [14][15]. - Major stocks receiving significant capital inflow include Xinyi Semiconductor and Tianfu Communication, with net inflows exceeding 20 billion yuan [15][17]. - Conversely, the textile and apparel sector saw a minor capital outflow of 0.63 billion yuan, suggesting limited selling pressure in the overall market [14]. Group 4: Stock Performance - The stock performance of CPO-related companies was notable, with Tianfu Communication and Guangku Technology both achieving over 17% gains [19][20]. - The CPO concept stocks are expected to benefit from the increasing demand for high-speed, low-power interconnect solutions in AI data centers [20][21]. Group 5: Investor Sentiment - The market sentiment remains strong, with institutions and retail investors showing a preference for "first board arbitrage" rather than aggressive speculation [9][10]. - The cautious approach of investors is reflected in the limited number of stocks advancing to the second and third boards, indicating a preference for stable investments [10][11].

Core Viewpoint - Recent rumors indicate that Elon Musk's SpaceX team has been visiting multiple Chinese photovoltaic companies to explore solar equipment, silicon wafers, and battery cells, with a focus on heterojunction and perovskite technology [2][3][10]. Group 1: Market Reactions - On February 5, photovoltaic concept stocks experienced a significant downturn, with companies like Jiejia Weichuang and Maiwei shares dropping over 10%, while Jingao Technology fell by 7.3% and Longi Green Energy by 5.59% [2][3]. - Prior to this, from February 3 to 4, stocks such as Jingsheng Electromechanical surged over 30%, with Oriental Sunrise and Jinko Solar seeing increases of nearly 15% and 36%, respectively [2][3]. Group 2: Company Responses - Jingsheng Electromechanical stated they were unaware of the SpaceX team's activities, emphasizing that space photovoltaics are still in the exploratory phase [2][10]. - Oriental Sunrise confirmed they had not received any communication from SpaceX, noting their primary business focus is on ground-based photovoltaics [2][10]. - Jinko Solar issued a notice regarding unusual stock trading, clarifying that their main business remains focused on ground photovoltaics and that they have not received any orders related to space photovoltaics [11]. Group 3: Technological Insights - Musk has highlighted the importance of solar energy, aiming for SpaceX and Tesla to achieve an annual solar manufacturing capacity of 100GW within three years, intended for ground data centers and space AI satellites [11][12]. - The potential applications of space photovoltaics are categorized into three stages: the first involves solar wings for low Earth orbit satellites, the second focuses on powering space computing centers, and the third envisions solar power stations in space [12][13]. - The first stage is seen as the most feasible within five years, while the second stage is projected to take 5-10 years, and the third stage is considered far off due to significant technical challenges [12][13].

出品 | 妙投APP 作者 | 董必政 编辑 | 丁萍 一、非"光"不可 过去两年，光伏行业经历了惨烈的周期下行。产能过剩、价格内卷，让大量企业深陷亏损泥潭，股价 更是跌得只剩零头。 此时，"太空光伏"概念的横空出世，尤其是马斯克的亲自站台，无疑给绝望中的资本市场递上了一根 救命稻草。市场充满了美好的联想：如果能搭上SpaceX和特斯拉的快车，中国光伏企业或许能通过 技术输出或代工，再度迎来春天。 头图 | AI制图 2月4日，沉寂许久的A股光伏板块被一股神秘力量猛然点燃。 盘面上，泽润新能、中来股份等瞬间掀起"20CM"涨停潮，TCL中环巨量封板，光伏设备龙头晶盛机 电大涨近13%，东方日升也紧随其后涨近7%。 资金的嗅觉总是最灵敏的，谜底很快被揭晓。 据多方消息证实，马斯克旗下团队正低调秘访中国多家光伏龙头企业，从设备到硅料、硅片、从异质 结（HJT）到钙钛矿，把光伏产业链全面摸底一遍。 这可不是随便看看。 1月22日，马斯克在达沃斯世界经济论坛宣布，SpaceX与特斯拉将在三年内（2026-2028年）于美国 本土分别建设100GW光伏产能，合计200GW。该产能主要用于地面数据中心与太空AI卫星供能。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent interest from Elon Musk's team in China's photovoltaic industry has sparked significant market activity, suggesting a potential turning point for the sector after a prolonged downturn [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reaction - On February 4, the A-share photovoltaic sector saw a surge, with companies like Zairun New Energy and TCL Zhonghuan hitting the "20CM" limit-up, while leading equipment manufacturer Jing Sheng Machinery rose nearly 13% [1]. - Following the initial excitement, the market experienced a sharp reversal, with the photovoltaic ETF dropping 5.45% and companies like Jun Da and Gao Ce falling significantly [5]. Group 2: Industry Context - The photovoltaic industry has faced severe challenges over the past two years, including overcapacity and price competition, leading many companies into losses [2]. - Musk's announcement of plans to build 200GW of photovoltaic capacity in the U.S. by 2028 has raised hopes for a revival in the Chinese photovoltaic sector [2]. Group 3: Strategic Implications - Musk's interest in the photovoltaic sector is seen as a strategic necessity, given the energy demands in North America, where a projected power shortfall of 88GW is expected between 2025 and 2028 [7]. - The potential for space-based solar power, which can achieve significantly higher efficiency due to constant sunlight in geosynchronous orbit, presents a compelling opportunity for innovation [8][9]. Group 4: Opportunities for Chinese Companies - The entry of Musk's team into the photovoltaic space is likely to lead to a revaluation of certain companies, particularly those involved in core materials and equipment manufacturing [12]. - Companies like GCL-Poly, which possess advanced technology in granular silicon, may benefit from potential collaborations with Musk's team [14][16]. - Equipment manufacturers are expected to be the first beneficiaries, as establishing production facilities in the U.S. will require purchasing equipment from Chinese suppliers [18][20]. Group 5: Long-term Outlook - The development of space solar power technology, particularly using gallium arsenide (GaAs) and perovskite solar cells, could revolutionize the industry, with Musk's involvement potentially accelerating commercialization [21][22]. - The collaboration between Musk's companies and Chinese photovoltaic firms could lead to breakthroughs in technology that are currently in the experimental stage, enhancing the overall value of the sector [23].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Elon Musk's recent visit to China to explore the photovoltaic (PV) industry, focusing on the potential of HJT (Heterojunction Technology) and perovskite technologies, highlighting the strategic importance of Chinese solar energy in Musk's vision for a global energy empire [4][5]. Group 1: Investment Logic - Logic One: Musk views Chinese solar energy as the "heart" of his global energy system, as China produces over 70% of the world's solar products, offering superior cost-effectiveness and technology [5]. - Logic Two: Musk is bypassing traditional solar technologies in favor of HJT and perovskite, which are seen as the next-generation solutions with efficiencies exceeding 24% and potential for 33% when combined, positioning him to secure future market dominance [6]. - Logic Three: Musk aims to create a sustainable energy cycle that includes solar power, energy storage, and electric vehicle charging, with Chinese solar technology providing the necessary support to complete this cycle [7]. - Logic Four: The collaboration between Musk and Chinese solar companies is framed as a win-win situation, where both parties can benefit from technological advancements and market expansion, rather than a one-sided exploitation [8].