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甬金股份:在稳健发展中探索新兴市场
Zhong Guo Chan Ye Jing Ji Xin Xi Wang· 2025-05-29 10:39
Group 1: Industry Overview - In 2024, the domestic stainless steel industry is characterized by "supply expansion and demand differentiation," with crude steel production capacity increasing to 57.79 million tons, a year-on-year growth of 7.08% [1] - Apparent consumption increased by 4.03% year-on-year, driven by recovery in manufacturing sectors like home appliances and automobiles, while the real estate sector remains weak [1] - The overseas market recovery has boosted export growth, with domestic cold-rolled production accounting for 59% of total output, indicating a continuous increase in industry concentration [1] Group 2: Company Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 41.861 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.98%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 800.5 million yuan, a significant year-on-year growth of 77.75% [2] - The core drivers of profit growth are capacity release and efficiency improvements, with cold-rolled product output surpassing 3.31 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 16.95% [2] - The company's capacity utilization rate reached a historical high, leading to improved gross and net profit margins through economies of scale and optimized product structure [2] Group 3: Emerging Opportunities - The global market for large cylindrical battery shells is expected to exceed 200 billion yuan by 2027, driven by the mass production of Tesla's 4680 battery and BMW's large cylindrical battery [3] - The company is leveraging its cold-rolled stainless steel technology to enter the cylindrical battery shell material market, with its Zhejiang project already in trial production [3] - Strategic partnerships, particularly with Midea Group, are expected to create new opportunities in the renewable energy sector as large cylindrical batteries gain traction in energy storage and electric vehicles [3] Group 4: Long-term Value Proposition - The company's performance in 2024 highlights its core competitiveness in the cold-rolled stainless steel sector, characterized by high technical barriers, efficient capacity, and quick market response [4] - Short-term profit growth is supported by an increase in high-end product ratios and cost control capabilities, while long-term growth is anticipated from new business expansions in cylindrical battery materials and titanium alloys [4] - The company demonstrates strong anti-cyclical resilience through differentiated competition and global expansion strategies, making it a noteworthy long-term investment opportunity [4]