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IRA税收抵免岌岌可危,美国太阳能装机量未来五年恐降10%
智通财经网· 2025-06-09 06:55
Core Insights - The U.S. solar industry is expected to see a decline in new installed capacity over the next five years due to federal policy shifts favoring fossil fuels, tariffs, and other challenges [1] - The American Solar Energy Association and Wood Mackenzie predict that new solar capacity in 2030 will be over 10% lower than in 2025 [1] - The industry installed 10.8 GW of capacity in Q1 this year, a 7% year-over-year decline, but still near historical highs [1] Group 1 - The report highlights the anticipated impact of new federal tariffs on key imported materials like steel and aluminum on solar projects [1] - The potential cuts to clean energy tax credits proposed by Congressional Republicans could pose another significant threat to the industry [1] - The solar sector accounted for 69% of the newly added electricity generation in the latest quarter [1] Group 2 - The U.S. solar industry is projected to install 48.6 GW of capacity this year, but this is expected to drop to 43.5 GW by 2030 [2] - Demand from corporate buyers for utility-scale projects is driving industry momentum, despite concerns over federal policies limiting growth [2] - Residential installations fell by 13% to 1.1 GW in Q1, while the utility sector accounted for 9 GW of installations [2] Group 3 - States like Texas, Florida, Ohio, Indiana, and California contributed to 65% of the new capacity [2] - Rising electricity prices are making solar more attractive to consumers, with expected growth in the residential segment from 2025 to 2030 [2] - The industry is currently facing challenges such as high interest rates, tariffs, and less favorable state policies [2]