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恒银科技(603106):银行智能终端领跑者,持续布局区块链赋能数字货币
Soochow Securities· 2025-11-20 11:05
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Hengyin Technology (603106) for the first time [1]. Core Views - Hengyin Technology is a leader in banking intelligent terminals and is continuously expanding its blockchain capabilities to empower digital currency [1]. - The company is expected to see revenue growth recovery starting in 2024, with significant contributions from overseas markets and the digital renminbi [8][20]. - The strategic focus includes transitioning from hardware provider to software and service provider, enhancing its international presence, and leveraging AI in financial services [41]. Summary by Sections 1. Business Overview - Hengyin Technology specializes in the research, production, and sales of financial intelligent terminals, providing comprehensive products and services to major banks [13]. - The company has developed core technologies for cash handling modules and holds numerous patents, positioning itself as a leading smart banking solution provider in China [13]. 2. Financial Performance - The company is projected to recover revenue growth in 2024, with a forecasted total revenue of 4.37 billion yuan in 2024, increasing to 8.04 billion yuan by 2027 [1]. - The gross margin is expected to improve due to product structure optimization and cost control measures [16]. - The net profit is anticipated to turn positive in 2024, with a significant increase in profitability expected in the following years [16]. 3. Digital Currency and Blockchain - The digital renminbi is positioned as a transformative force in the payment landscape, with the central bank emphasizing its infrastructure development in the latest five-year plan [22]. - Blockchain technology is highlighted as a new generation of digital infrastructure, providing decentralized management and data integrity [37]. 4. Strategic Initiatives - The company has outlined a development strategy focusing on four transformations: expanding from domestic to global markets, diversifying application scenarios, enhancing product offerings, and transitioning to a service-oriented business model [41]. - Hengyin Technology aims to leverage AI and blockchain to enhance its product offerings and improve customer interactions [43][44]. 5. Valuation and Profit Forecast - The report forecasts revenue growth for Hengyin Technology, estimating revenues of 5.04 billion yuan in 2025, 6.25 billion yuan in 2026, and 8.04 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 15.3%, 24.0%, and 28.6% respectively [49]. - The company is expected to maintain a gross margin of around 27.4% to 30.1% during this period [49].