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双擎驱动能源升维!专家预计:2027年建成聚变能实验装置、2030年完成小型堆核电站商业示范
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-04-27 08:20
Group 1 - Nuclear fusion energy is viewed as the ultimate solution for human energy needs, providing green, safe, and unlimited energy [1] - The construction of a fusion energy experimental device is expected to be completed by 2027, with the first demonstration of fusion energy anticipated within five years [1] - The strategic value of nuclear energy is increasing under the dual pressures of climate change and energy security, with plans to achieve 65 million kilowatts of nuclear power capacity by the end of 2025 [1] Group 2 - The next decade is critical for the development and promotion of small modular reactors (SMRs), with nearly a hundred design proposals covering various reactor technologies [2] - SMRs are characterized by shorter construction periods, lower individual investment, and greater site adaptability, making them increasingly popular globally [2] - By 2030, China's data center electricity consumption is projected to reach 400 TWh, doubling from 2020, highlighting the commercial potential of SMRs in energy supply [2] Group 3 - Both SMRs and fusion reactors are current research and investment hotspots, with SMRs combining the maturity of Generation III reactors and the innovation of Generation IV [3] - There is a need for standardization and mass production of SMRs to reduce costs and prove their competitiveness against large reactors [3] - Fusion reactors face challenges related to materials, costs, and engineering, with expectations of completing experimental and demonstration phases within the next twenty years [3]