小鹏X9增程汽车
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财通证券:首予小鹏汽车-W(09868)“增持”评级 长期成长逻辑清晰
智通财经网· 2025-11-06 07:20
Core Viewpoint - Xiaopeng Motors is at a growth inflection point driven by "product iteration + leading smart driving," with its robot business providing long-term potential and range-extended models ensuring stable sales in the short to medium term [1] Group 1: Smart Driving and Long-term Growth - Xiaopeng Motors is positioned as a core player in smart driving, with a clear long-term growth logic. By H1 2025, the penetration rate of smart driving features (L2 and above) in China is expected to reach 82.6%. The company has focused on smart driving since its inception, developing its own Turing AI chip and VLA/VLM large models for end-to-end implementation, achieving nationwide "no-map" smart driving [2] - The company plans to expand into Robotaxi and humanoid robots, creating a three-stage growth curve of "smart driving - Robotaxi - robots," solidifying its core advantages in intelligence and forming a closed industrial chain [2] Group 2: Sales Growth Driven by Range-Extended Strategy - In response to the reduction of purchase tax and diverse user demands, the company has proposed a dual strategy of "range-extended + pure electric," planning at least five range-extended models covering sedans and SUVs. The first range-extended model, the X9, is expected to go into production within the year, complementing popular pure electric models like Mona M03 and P7 to create a more balanced product matrix [3] - The range-extended models are anticipated to become a crucial support for stable sales and market share over the next 1-2 years [3] Group 3: Product Design Logic Transformation - The company has established "design" and "intelligence" as its dual strengths, shifting its R&D process from "engineering constraints first" to "design first." The new P7 has showcased differentiated results. Future efforts will focus on enhancing design while leveraging self-developed Turing chips and large models to upgrade smart driving and smart cabin experiences [4] - Organizational adjustments and modular design will improve cost control, aiming to create a "no weaknesses, multiple strengths" framework in design, intelligence, and cost, with expectations to continuously launch high-tech and cost-effective popular models [4]