Group 1 - The company, Luyang Energy-saving (002088.SZ), primarily engages in the production and sales of ceramic fiber products, industrial filtration products, and automotive padding products [1] - The company does not involve in the research and development of PEEK materials [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [5][7]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 3.53 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 0.38%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 480 million yuan, a decrease of 2.42% year-on-year [3][4]. - For Q1 2025, the company disclosed a revenue of 542 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 22.61%, and a net profit of 60.04 million yuan, down 27.19% year-on-year [3][4]. - The overall business performance in 2024 was relatively stable, with growth in emerging sectors like shipping and new energy, while traditional markets such as ceramics and cement showed no improvement due to cyclical constraints from real estate [4]. - The company plans to enhance its management and production processes by implementing advanced management concepts like Kaizen and WCM, aiming to improve product quality and market share [4][5]. Financial Summary - The revenue forecast for 2025 and 2026 is 5.4 billion yuan and 6 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios (PE) of 11 and 10 times [5]. - The company reported a revenue of 3.53 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross profit of 1.08 billion yuan, resulting in a gross margin of 31% [13]. - The company’s cash dividend plan for 2024 is expected to be 410 million yuan, accounting for 85.5% of the net profit attributable to shareholders, indicating a strong commitment to shareholder returns [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing pressure on revenue growth and profitability due to weak demand in the ceramic fiber market and the integration phase of new automotive padding business, leading to adjustments in earnings forecasts [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company reported revenue of 3.53 billion, net profit attributable to shareholders of 480 million, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 490 million, with year-over-year changes of +0%, -2%, and -7% respectively [1]. - In Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, the company expects revenue of 990 million and 540 million, net profit of 140 million and 60 million, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 150 million and 60 million, with year-over-year changes of +3%/-23%, +8%/-27%, and +10%/-28% respectively [1]. - The company plans a cash dividend of 410 million for 2024, with a payout ratio of 85.5% and a dividend yield of 6.2% based on the closing price on April 28, 2025 [1]. Business Segments - Revenue from ceramic fiber, automotive padding, and industrial filtration businesses for 2024 is expected to be 3.21 billion, 140 million, and 160 million respectively, with year-over-year changes of +3%, -36%, and +13% [2]. - The sales volume of ceramic fiber products is projected to remain stable at 537,000 tons, while industrial filtration products continue to show rapid revenue growth [2]. Profitability - The company's overall gross margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 is expected to decline by 0.4 and 3.4 percentage points to 31.0% and 25.6% respectively [3]. - The gross margins for ceramic fiber, automotive padding, and industrial filtration businesses are projected to be 32.1%, 17.1%, and 10.9%, with year-over-year changes of -2.0%, +9.0%, and +4.2% respectively [3]. - The company has successfully reduced its expense ratio, with a decrease of 2.0 and 3.0 percentage points to 12.9% and 12.3% for 2024 and Q1 2025 [3]. Growth Outlook - The company maintains a strong position in the ceramic fiber market, with expectations for continued growth in automotive padding and industrial filtration businesses, which may provide synergistic development opportunities [4]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected to grow by 1%, 7%, and 8% to 3.6 billion, 3.8 billion, and 4.1 billion respectively, with net profits expected to reach 490 million, 540 million, and 590 million [4]. - The current price corresponds to a 2025 PE ratio of 13x, indicating attractive valuation alongside dividend considerations [4].