机构：华泰证券 公司发布年度业绩盈喜，利润大幅超预期 研究员：刘俊/边文姣/苗雨菲 +30.5%/36.6%，我们预计新增电源设备订单兑现有望持续贡献业绩增量，2025H1 煤电、水电、核电营 收已实现同比+61.9%、23.6%、68.7%，未来雅江等大型水电启动、抽蓄有序布局、核电核准常态化等 有望保障订单需求延续。此外，公司2022 年起优化签约策略，高毛利优质订单陆续兑现或能进一步提 振盈利。 2. 四代核电布局有望打开盈利增长空间：公司核电产品包括蒸汽发生器、稳压器、以及常规岛设备等， 布局华龙一号、国和一号等机型。24 年公司核电业务毛利率为30.7%，高于行业平均（上海电气15- 18%，东方电气24.0%）。公司布局四代蒸汽发生器、超临界二氧化碳循环发电技术等，未来厂址限 制、资源约束驱动下，高温气冷堆、钠冷快堆、钍基熔盐堆等四代核电技术或在"十五五"迎来关键机遇 期。 海外缺电逻辑下电源设备或有出海机遇 数据中心与再工业化推动下，海外缺电主线逻辑强化。当前海外燃机产能仅约50GW，难以匹配约 85GW 需求（根据西门子能源指引，未来可能上升至100GW）；传统用于油服的中小燃机产能亦被锁 定 ...

证券研究报告 哈尔滨电气 (1133 HK) 全年利润大幅超预期 2026 年 1 月 27 日│中国香港 电气设备 公司发布年度业绩盈喜，利润大幅超预期 哈尔滨电气发布 2025 年业绩盈喜，预计 25 年实现归母净利润 26.5 亿元， 同比大增 57%（24 年公司归母净利润 16.86 亿元），超出 VA 预期 10.5%。 利润增长主要系公司新增设备订单兑现带来营收增长，叠加内部管理提效+ 高毛利订单兑现提振盈利能力。公司作为国内传统电源设备龙头"三大电气" 之一，我们认为其有望受益于：1）国内电力需求增长和最高负荷上行，煤 气水核等传统电源保供价值凸显，"十五五"规划再次强调多能并举；2） 数据中心带动海外缺电主线延续，海外燃机紧供需下公司小燃机或有望实现 出口。我们维持"买入"评级，给予公司目标价 27.05 港币。 传统基荷电源需求带动设备订单高增，四代核电布局打开增长空间 我们预测全国用电量 2025-30 年或维持 CAGR 6%，最高负荷同步上行，电 力系统"安全充裕"有赖于煤水核等可控装机予以保障。最新"十五五"国 网固定资产投资预计达 4 万亿元，较"十四五"增长 40%，且此前"十 ...

哈尔滨电气 (1133 HK) 全年利润大幅超预期 2026 年 1 月 27 日│中国香港 电气设备 公司发布年度业绩盈喜，利润大幅超预期 哈尔滨电气发布 2025 年业绩盈喜，预计 25 年实现归母净利润 26.5 亿元， 同比大增 57%（24 年公司归母净利润 16.86 亿元），超出 VA 预期 10.5%。 利润增长主要系公司新增设备订单兑现带来营收增长，叠加内部管理提效+ 高毛利订单兑现提振盈利能力。公司作为国内传统电源设备龙头"三大电气" 之一，我们认为其有望受益于：1）国内电力需求增长和最高负荷上行，煤 气水核等传统电源保供价值凸显，"十五五"规划再次强调多能并举；2） 数据中心带动海外缺电主线延续，海外燃机紧供需下公司小燃机或有望实现 出口。我们维持"买入"评级，给予公司目标价 27.05 港币。 证券研究报告 传统基荷电源需求带动设备订单高增，四代核电布局打开增长空间 我们预测全国用电量 2025-30 年或维持 CAGR 6%，最高负荷同步上行，电 力系统"安全充裕"有赖于煤水核等可控装机予以保障。最新"十五五"国 网固定资产投资预计达 4 万亿元，较"十四五"增长 40%，且此前"十 ...

Core Viewpoint - The National Energy Administration has issued the "Interim Measures for the Management of Nuclear Power Engineering Quotas" to strengthen quota management, standardize the nuclear power construction market, reasonably determine project costs, ensure quality, and promote the healthy development of the nuclear power industry [1][2]. Industry Development - The introduction of the "Interim Measures" is based on the practical needs of the nuclear power industry, establishing a three-tier management system to ensure the scientific, reasonable, and authoritative nature of nuclear power engineering quotas [2][3]. - The current acceleration in nuclear power construction necessitates the establishment of engineering quotas to avoid waste and balance construction quality and costs [3][4]. Project Approvals and Investments - Prior to the issuance of the "Interim Measures," five nuclear power projects were approved, totaling 10 units with an investment exceeding 200 billion yuan [3]. - The projects include the Guangxi Fangchenggang Nuclear Power Phase III, Guangdong Taishan Nuclear Power Phase II, Zhejiang Sanmen Nuclear Power Phase III, Shandong Haiyang Nuclear Power Phase III, and Fujian Xiapu Nuclear Power Phase I [3]. Market Outlook - The importance of nuclear power in China's energy structure is expected to increase, with a positive outlook for industry growth [4]. - The "Interim Measures" will facilitate better implementation of nuclear projects, ensuring market order and project quality [4]. Corporate Actions - The approval of nuclear projects will significantly increase demand for key equipment, benefiting manufacturers and creating development opportunities for listed companies in the supply chain [5][6]. - Companies like Sichuan Kexin Electromechanical Co., Ltd. and Zhejiang Shield Environment Co., Ltd. are actively participating in project tenders and have successfully secured contracts for major nuclear projects [5][6]. - The rapid development of the nuclear industry is expected to create a synergistic effect across the supply chain, enhancing overall performance and technological advancement in the sector [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company [4][7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1161.86 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.21%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 7.52 billion CNY, down 6.33% year-on-year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 222.45 billion CNY, up 8.06% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.92 billion CNY, a significant increase of 145.69% year-on-year, marking a return to profitability [1]. - The energy equipment segment saw a revenue increase of 5.30% to 617.58 billion CNY, benefiting from the continued delivery of coal-fired and nuclear power units [2]. - The company’s new order intake reached a four-year high of 1536.0 billion CNY in 2024, representing an 11.9% year-on-year growth, with the energy equipment segment orders increasing by 18.5% [3]. - The company is focusing on green and low-carbon transformation, making progress in energy storage, hydrogen energy, and robotics [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1161.86 billion CNY and a net profit of 7.52 billion CNY, with a projected revenue growth of 3.52% in 2025 [6]. - The gross profit margin improved to 19.7% in the energy equipment segment, reflecting a 2.0 percentage point increase year-on-year [2]. Order Intake and Market Position - The company’s new orders in the energy equipment segment reached 891.0 billion CNY, a five-year high, with wind power orders increasing by 150.4% to 173.8 billion CNY [3]. - The company is expected to leverage its leading position to enhance market share in traditional business areas while exploring new growth points in technology-driven sectors [4]. Future Outlook - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 14 billion CNY, 27 billion CNY, and 32 billion CNY respectively, with a downward adjustment of 16% and 10% for the first two years [4]. - The current A/H share price corresponds to a PE ratio of 81 and 27 for 2025, indicating potential for future growth [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months compared to the market benchmark index [5][8]. Core Insights - The approval of 10 new nuclear power units marks a significant step in China's nuclear energy development, with a total of 28 new projects approved over the past seven years [2][5]. - The nuclear power equipment market is projected to see annual demand surpassing 87 billion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with investments in nuclear island equipment expected to exceed 40 billion yuan in a single year [3]. - Breakthroughs in controllable nuclear fusion are being reported, with significant advancements in experimental devices, indicating a robust future for fusion energy projects in China [4][5]. Summary by Sections Nuclear Power Project Approvals - The recent approval includes five nuclear power projects, totaling 10 units, with a mix of different reactor types, including eight "Hualong One" units and two CAP1000 units [2]. Market Demand and Investment Projections - The investment scale for nuclear power equipment is expected to grow from 25.7 billion yuan in 2023 to a peak of 87.5 billion yuan by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.91% [3]. Controllable Nuclear Fusion Developments - Recent achievements in nuclear fusion technology include successful high-temperature plasma operations and the construction of new experimental devices, with plans for a demonstration reactor in the future [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in nuclear island and conventional island equipment supply, as well as those engaged in controllable nuclear fusion projects, highlighting specific companies such as Harbin Electric, Dongfang Electric, and Shanghai Electric [5].