智通财经APP获悉，奈飞(NFLX.US)将于美东时间2025年10月21日(周二)发布2025年三季度财报。在上 一季度，奈飞给出了稳定的业绩指引，与市场一致预期一致。本季度，奈飞预计将通过提升用户互动 度、降低用户流失率，同时推出更多元化的娱乐产品来实现收入增长。凭借庞大的用户基数，奈飞对长 期发展机遇仍持乐观态度。 以下是值得重点关注的核心数据： 业绩预期 根据一致预期，分析师目前预计奈飞 2025年全年营收将达451亿美元，营业利润为136亿美元，营业利 润率为30.3%——这一利润率较此前预估的29.6%有所上升。 2025年春季，管理层曾强调，广告套餐(Ad Tier)的推出有助于降低定价门槛。公司在财报电话会议中表 示，预计2025年广告收入将再次实现同比翻倍。自2025年初以来，截至三季度财报发布前，广告支持型 收入的预期持续上调。尽管当前预期(11亿美元)仍低于2024年初16亿美元的初始预测，但整体趋势向 好。 长期展望与利润率预期 凭借庞大的用户基数，奈飞对长期发展机遇仍持乐观态度。联合首席执行官格雷戈里·彼得斯(Gregory Peters)表示，2025年将是广告业务"发力"的一年。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Netflix is optimistic about its long-term growth opportunities, expecting to achieve revenue growth through increased user engagement, reduced churn rates, and a more diverse range of entertainment products [1][4]. Performance Expectations - Market expectations for Netflix's Q3 2025 revenue are stable, with projected revenue of $11.5 billion for the quarter and $45.1 billion for the entire year [2]. - Revenue growth is anticipated to be supported by a continuous increase in membership and enhanced monetization capabilities [2]. - The operating margin for Q3 2025 is expected to rise to 31.5%, with an annual operating margin forecasted at 30.3% [2]. Revenue Growth Drivers and Business Highlights - Netflix plans to drive revenue growth by enhancing user engagement, reducing churn, and launching a wider variety of entertainment products [3]. - The gaming and advertising segments are expected to be key growth drivers in 2025 [3]. - Analysts project Netflix's total revenue for 2025 to reach $45.1 billion, with an operating profit of $13.6 billion and an operating margin of 30.3%, an increase from the previous estimate of 29.6% [3]. - The introduction of ad-supported tiers is expected to lower pricing barriers and significantly boost advertising revenue, which is projected to double year-over-year in 2025 [3]. Long-term Outlook and Profit Margin Expectations - Netflix maintains a positive outlook for long-term growth, with expectations for advertising revenue to reach $6.5 billion by 2027, although this is lower than the previous forecast of $7.4 billion for 2024 [4]. - There is significant divergence among analysts regarding the growth of advertising revenue, with projections for 2027 ranging from $3.8 billion to $13.8 billion [4]. - Operating margins are expected to increase from 26.7% in 2024 to 35.1% in 2027, with expectations for diluted EPS to rise from $20.22 in 2024 to $39.77 in 2027 [4]. - The consensus target price for Netflix has been slightly raised to $1,400, indicating approximately 17% upside potential from the current stock price [5].