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大洋电机(002249)首次覆盖报告:电机卓越供应商 前瞻布局机器人+SOFC
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 08:26
核心观点 同时,公司前瞻布局人形机器人和氢能业务,打开成长空间。我们预计公司2025-2027 年收入分别为 132.25/150.08/169.34 亿元,同比+9.2%/+13.5%/+12.8%;归母净利润分别为11.79/13.99/16.77 亿元,同 比+32.9%/+18.7%/+19.8%。按照2025 年9 月30 日收盘市值对应PE分别为23.86/20.11/16.78 倍,我们看好 公司的成长空间,首次覆盖给予公司"买入"评级。 风险提示 国际贸易风险、国际化管理风险、新业务拓展不及预期风险、商誉减值准备计提风险。 受益行业需求,公司新能源汽车业务释放规模效应。据中国汽车工业协会数据显示,2025H1 国内新能 源汽车销量693.7 万辆,同比+40.3%,渗透率达44.3%。公司在新能源乘用车和商用车领域获得多个项 目定点;同时,公司先后落地上海电驱动上海工厂、泰国工厂和重庆工厂,并提高核心零部件自制率。 2025H1 公司新能源汽车动力总成系统业务营收7.25 亿元,同比+5.73%;毛利率19.09%,同比提升 8.70pct。 前瞻布局人形机器人和氢能业务。1)公司于2025 ...
大洋电机20250924
2025-09-26 02:29
Summary of the Conference Call for Dayang Motor Company Overview - Dayang Motor is a leading enterprise in the global building ventilation and home appliance motor sector, comparable to Wolong Electric Drive in HVAC motors [3][4] - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 70% in recent years, with overseas revenue accounting for nearly 50% [3] Core Business Segments 1. **Traditional Building and Home Appliance Motors**: - Revenue contribution exceeds 60%, serving major domestic and international HVAC players like Gree, Midea, Haier, and Daikin [4] 2. **Automotive-related Motors**: - Comprises both new energy vehicles (NEVs) and traditional fuel vehicles, with NEVs accounting for over 10% of revenue [5] 3. **Hydrogen Fuel Cell Business**: - Currently has a low revenue contribution, focusing on hydrogen fuel cell engines and core components [5] Key Insights and Arguments - The traditional building and home appliance motor business is expected to provide stable cash flow, supporting the growth of the NEV segment, which is projected to reach profitability by 2025 [2][9] - The company aims for a revenue of 1.4 billion yuan in 2026, corresponding to a valuation of less than 20 times earnings [2][17] - Global NEV penetration is increasing, with the market size exceeding 150 billion yuan, and China accounting for approximately 70%-80% of this market [6] - Dayang Motor's gross margin improved to 16% in the first half of 2024, indicating operational efficiency [8] Global Expansion and Market Position - By the first half of 2025, 50% of Dayang Motor's revenue is expected to come from overseas markets, with new factories being established in Thailand, Morocco, and the USA [2][5] - The company has a leading position in both domestic and North American markets, with major clients including well-known brands [10] Research and Development - Dayang Motor has increased R&D investment and digital transformation efforts since 2020, launching eight employee incentive programs to strengthen core team alignment with long-term strategies [5] - The company is collaborating with Tongji University on humanoid robot technology and has invested in Mech-Mind Technology to enhance its capabilities in this area [12] Future Growth Potential - The traditional business is expected to grow at a steady rate of 10%-15%, while the NEV segment is projected to grow at 20%-25% over the next three years [15][16] - The company anticipates an overall revenue CAGR of 10%-15% in the coming years, driven by increased overseas revenue and high-efficiency smart motor products [16] Risks - Key risks include international trade and geopolitical uncertainties, fluctuations in downstream industry demand, and potential underperformance in new business and technology developments [18] Investment Recommendation - The company is rated as a "buy" with a target market capitalization of 42 billion yuan based on a 30 times PE ratio for 2026, indicating over 50% upside potential from the current market cap of 28 billion yuan [3][17]