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地平线机器人-W:地平线机器人2025年业绩公告点评:中高阶放量驱动量价齐升,全球化布局打开远期成长空间-20260324
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-03-24 14:24
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.758 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 57.68%. However, it incurred a net loss of 10.469 billion yuan, transitioning from profit to loss, primarily due to changes in the fair value of preferred shares and other financial liabilities [1][2] - The optimistic outlook for the mid-to-high-end product line is expected to continue, with an average revenue growth target of 60% over the next few years [2] - The Horizon SuperDrive (HSD) has officially entered mass production, with a strong initial delivery of over 22,000 units within a month, indicating high consumer demand and decision-making influence [2][3] - The company aims to deepen its market penetration by pushing high-end driving solutions into the 100,000 yuan price range, which is expected to accelerate large-scale applications [3] - The company has made significant strides in global expansion, securing partnerships with 11 OEMs for over 40 export vehicle models, enhancing its long-term growth potential [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.758 billion yuan, a 57.68% increase year-on-year, while the net profit was a loss of 10.469 billion yuan, with an adjusted net loss of 2.812 billion yuan, reflecting a 67.3% increase in losses year-on-year [1][9] - Revenue projections for 2026-2028 are set at 5.875 billion, 9.095 billion, and 14.096 billion yuan, respectively, with expected net losses of 3.508 billion, 2.964 billion, and 874 million yuan [9][11] Product Development - The HSD product line is expected to see a shipment of around 400,000 units in 2026, with a strong user engagement reflected in a 41% share of intelligent driving mileage during the 2026 Spring Festival [2][3] - The company is also preparing for a trial operation of Robotaxi services in specific cities by the second half of 2026, leveraging its HSD platform [3] Market Positioning - The company has established a three-dimensional growth model through "empowering exports, solidifying joint ventures, and direct supply to international markets," which significantly enhances its long-term shipping ceiling [8] - The strategic partnership with Volkswagen's CARIAD has entered a return phase, with the first model already in production and six more expected to be delivered in 2026 [3]
地平线机器人-W(09660):中高阶放量驱动量价齐升,全球化布局打开远期成长空间
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-03-24 14:21
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.758 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 57.68%. However, it recorded a net loss of 10.469 billion yuan, transitioning from profit to loss, primarily due to changes in the fair value of preferred shares and other financial liabilities [1][2] - The management is optimistic about the mid-to-high-end product line, expecting a continued trend of volume and price increase in 2026, with an average revenue growth target of 60% over the next few years [2] - The Horizon SuperDrive (HSD) solution officially entered mass production in November 2025, achieving a delivery of over 22,000 units within a month, with a high option rate of 83% among related models, indicating strong consumer demand [2][3] - The company aims to produce around 400,000 units of HSD in 2026 and plans to initiate Robotaxi pilot operations in specific cities in the second half of 2026 [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 3.758 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 57.68%. The automotive business accounted for 94.6% of total revenue [1][2] - Adjusted net loss for 2025 was 2.812 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase in loss of 67.3% [1] Product Development and Market Strategy - The company is pushing high-end driving technology into the 100,000 yuan market segment, which is expected to accelerate large-scale applications [3] - The new computing architecture "Riemann Architecture" was released, and the company plans to launch hardware that competes with leading global products [3] Global Expansion - The company has made significant progress in its global layout, forming a three-dimensional growth pattern of "empowering exports + solidifying joint ventures + direct supply to international markets" [8] - It has secured contracts with 11 OEMs for over 40 export vehicle models, covering major Chinese automotive exporters [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Revenue forecasts for 2026-2028 are adjusted to 5.875 billion, 9.095 billion, and 14.096 billion yuan, respectively, with expected net losses of 3.508 billion, 2.964 billion, and 874 million yuan [9]