7月11日，华为和上汽集团共同打造的尚界汽车发布了一张海报，并配文"尚界，上场！"。华为常务 董事、终端BG董事长余承东转发了该海报，并称"今秋敬请期待！智驾好，有蓝灯！"这意味着尚界 汽车新车有望在今年秋季上市，并搭载华为高阶智驾。 ...

智驾再升级，新周期的阿尔法机会——整车行业 2025 年 度中期投资策略 20250710 摘要 新能源汽车上半年保持 30%增长，但渗透率受价格战影响低于预期，徘 徊在 50%-52%。政策和监管干预有望缓解价格战压力，利好具备强产 品力的新能源车企。 整车领域看好理想、吉利、小米和比亚迪，受益于新车周期和海外扩张。 小鹏在智驾领域的发展及其芯片应用带来新机遇，值得关注。 上半年汽车销量良好，6 月批发量同比增长 25%，新能源汽车增长 30%。库存经历上升后于 5 月下旬至 7 月开始下降，目前处于相对低位。 政策补贴预计全年保持 4%的上牌增速，下半年增速或因高基数放缓。 类似于 2017 年，抢装效应和强新车周期企业有望推动创新高行情。 高阶智驾城市 OA 渗透率快速提升，从 2024 年的 9%增至 2025 年 5 月 的 15%以上，预计 2026 年将翻倍至 30%以上，受益于技术优化和用 户体验提升。 中国新能源汽车出口占比已达海外总量约 30%，纯电动车占比 33%， 插混车型占比 13%。欧洲市场需求回升，预计渗透率将从 20%提升至 32%，为中国车企提供机遇。 比亚迪、上汽、吉利和领 ...

证券研究报告 相关研究 行业研究 / 行业点评 2025 年 07 月 07 日 汽车 一年内行业指数与沪深 300 指数对比走势： 资料来源：聚源数据，爱建证券研究所 《汽车行业周报：新能源车消费季活动启动， 或促下沉市场潜力释放》2025-06-30 《智能汽车行业点评：小米 YU7 发布即爆单， 供给撬动需求》2025-06-28 《汽车行业周报：账期压缩细则待明晰，高资 金覆盖率车企或受益》2025-06-24 《汽车行业周报：特斯拉引领自动驾驶商业化 加速发展》2025-06-17 《汽车行业周报：长安汽车分立成央企，电动 智能自主品牌加速成长》2025-06-10 吴迪 S0820525010001 021-32229888-25523 wudi@ajzq.com 徐姝婧 S0820124090004 021-32229888-25517 xushujing@ajzq.com 行业及产业 小鹏 G7 引领高算力，智能汽车加速发展 ——汽车行业周报（2025/06/30-2025/07/06） 请仔细阅读在本报告尾部的重要法律声明 强于大市 投资要点： 本周汽车板块涨跌幅+0.1%。本周 A 股申万 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the automotive industry, particularly focusing on the mid-to-high-end market and strong alpha companies [3][4]. Core Insights - The Chinese automotive market is transitioning between the third and fourth consumption eras, with a notable expansion in mid-to-large SUVs and personalized products, indicating untapped consumer potential [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of innovative supply to stimulate market demand, highlighting products like Yu7, Zun Jie S800, and upcoming models from Li Auto as key drivers [4]. - The report suggests continued attention to strong alpha manufacturers such as Li Auto, JAC, Xiaomi, and Seres, as well as their corresponding supply chain companies [4]. Industry Update - Retail sales of passenger cars reached 570,000 units in the 26th week of 2025, with a month-on-month decrease of 1.38%. Traditional energy vehicles sold approximately 274,000 units, down 7.43%, while new energy vehicles sold 296,000 units, up 4.96%, achieving a penetration rate of 51.93% [4]. - The automotive industry experienced a total transaction value of 425.645 billion yuan this week, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 5.01% [4]. - The automotive industry index rose by 0.10% this week, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index increased by 1.54%, indicating that the automotive sector's performance was below the broader market [11]. Market Conditions - The report notes that 123 automotive stocks rose while 159 fell this week, with the largest gainers being TaoTao Automotive, Hunan Tianyan, and Zhengyu Industrial, which saw increases of 29.8%, 21.0%, and 18.3%, respectively [15]. - Key events include the launch of the Xiaopeng G7, which exceeded pricing expectations and features advanced autonomous driving capabilities, and the opening of BYD's factory in Brazil, enhancing its presence in the Latin American market [5][8]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on domestic strong alpha manufacturers such as BYD, Geely, and Xiaopeng, as well as companies involved in the trend of smart technology, including Jianghuai Automobile and Seres [4]. - It also suggests monitoring state-owned enterprise reforms, particularly with SAIC Motor, and identifying component manufacturers with strong growth potential, such as Fuyao Glass and New Spring [4]. Key Events - Xiaopeng G7 was launched with a starting price of 195,800 yuan, featuring advanced AI capabilities and a significant increase in autonomous driving performance [5][41]. - BYD's new factory in Brazil aims for an annual production capacity of 150,000 vehicles, with plans to expand to 300,000 units, marking a significant step in its global strategy [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - Li Auto's vehicle deliveries have significantly declined, with June deliveries at 36,300 units, down 11% month-over-month and down 24% year-over-year, raising concerns about the company's performance and market position [1][2]. Group 1: Delivery Performance - In June, Li Auto delivered 36,300 vehicles, a decrease of 11% from May's 40,800 units, which had a year-over-year growth of 16.7% [1]. - For Q2, the total vehicle deliveries were 111,000, slightly lower than the 108,600 units delivered in the same period last year, indicating a decline of over 2,000 units [1]. Group 2: Market Competition - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with rivals like Seres and Leap Motor enhancing their range-extended technology, posing a threat to Li Auto's market share [3][4]. - Major competitors are planning significant financing through Hong Kong listings, which could increase pressure on Li Auto's operations and market share [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Li Auto's average net profit per vehicle has been declining, dropping from 17,800 yuan in Q1 2023 to below 7,000 yuan by Q1 2025, a cumulative decline of over 60% [4]. - Rising costs of raw materials, such as copper and aluminum, have added pressure on automotive companies, making it difficult to pass these costs onto consumers [4]. Group 4: Executive Actions - CEO Wang Xing has been reducing his stake in Li Auto, selling 5.737 million shares between June 10 and June 13, totaling over 600 million HKD, which has raised concerns among investors [6][7]. - Other executives, including the CFO and co-founder, have also sold shares, which may lead to investor apprehension regarding the company's future performance [7].

汽车/乘用车 吉利汽车（00175.HK） 造车成本优势延续，品牌整合驱动经营提效 2025 年 07 月 01 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/6/30 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(港元) | 15.960 | | 一年最高最低(港元) | 20.900/7.310 | | 总市值(亿港元) | 1,609.43 | | 流通市值(亿港元) | 1,609.43 | | 总股本(亿股) | 100.84 | | 流通港股(亿股) | 100.84 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 48.18 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -40% 0% 40% 80% 120% 160% 2024-07 2024-11 2025-03 吉利汽车 恒生指数 相关研究报告 ——港股公司深度报告 | 张可（分析师） | 赵旭杨（分析师） | 陈沆（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | zhangke1@kysec.cn | zhaoxuyang@kysec.cn | chenhang1@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790523070001 | 证书编号： ...

研究所： 证券分析师： 戴畅 S0350523120004 daic@ghzq.com.cn 小米 [Table_Title] YU7 开售 18 小时锁单量破 24w 台， 理想汽车更新二季度交付量展望 ——汽车行业周报 2025 年 06 月 29 日 行业研究 评级：推荐(维持) | 行业相对表现 | | | 2025/06/27 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 汽车 | -1.8% | -4.2% | 31.4% | | 沪深 300 | 2.1% | -0.3% | 13.5% | 相关报告 《商用车行业深度研究：BEV 重卡：渗透率、竞争 格局、投资机会展望（推荐）*商用车*戴畅》—— 2025-06-26 《汽车行业周报：以旧换新"国补"将持续，理想 汽车完成 2500 座 5C 超充站建设以及 i6 工信部产 品公告（推荐）*汽车*戴畅》——2025-06-23 《汽车行业周报：多家车企发布"60 天账期宣言"， 特斯拉暂定 6 月 22 日正式运营 Robotaxi（推荐）* 汽车*戴畅》——2025-06-15 《汽 ...

据乘联分会消息，6月1日—22日，全国乘用车市场零售126.9万辆，同比增长24%，较上月同期增长 8%，今年以来累计零售1008.6万辆，同比增长11%。6月1—22日，全国乘用车新能源市场零售69.1万 辆，同比增长38%，较上月同期增长11%，全国新能源市场零售渗透率54.5%，今年以来累计零售504.9 万辆，同比增长35%。 银河证券表示，内需与出口叠加向好，全年乘用车销量预计增长6.7%。30万元以下销量占比有望继续 提升，"高阶智驾平权"推动竞争格局继续集中。以旧换新政策支持、新能源汽车下乡、年底新能源车免 征购置税政策到期三重政策利好支撑内需，全年乘用车市场销量预计同比增长6.7%。竞争格局中，"智 驾平权"带来单车成本与算力、数据、算法研发投入增加，对车企的成本管控、研发投入能力要求进一 步上升，新能源市场份额向头部3—5名主机厂继续集中。 该机构建议关注，乘用车板块推荐比亚迪（002594）、理想汽车-W，受益标的吉利汽车、小鹏汽车、 零跑汽车；摩托车板块受益标的春风动力（603129）、隆鑫通用（603766）；商用车板块受益标的中国 重汽（000951）、宇通客车（600066）；智能 ...

招商证券研报指出，智能化正逐渐成为汽车产业竞争关键，2025- 2 0 3 0年是高阶智驾的高 速发展期，可以类比2 0 1 0 - 2 016年智能手机的高速发展态势。在此期间以城区NOA为代表 的高阶智驾将快速渗透，同时智能汽车市场竞争洗牌加剧，汽车行业集中度将进一步提 升，具备核心技术和生态优势的科技型企业最具备竞争力，国内智能汽车产业链享有更好 的政策、产业链配套、成本等优势，有望诞生出一批有国际竞争力的企业。 同时，合资车企也陆续宣布与国内智驾产业链厂商合作补齐智驾短板，降本加速追赶智驾 渗透进程。 对此，业内认为 高阶智驾仍存渗透率提升空间，且1 0 - 2 0万车型为国内乘用车销量主力， 2 0 24年销量占比为49%，比亚迪带动自主品牌向更低价格带车型装载高阶智驾，打开高 阶智驾国内高速成长空间。 二、汽车智能化带动汽车产业链价值量提升 财联社6月24日电，商务部办公厅发布《关于组织开展2025年千县万镇新能源汽车消费季 活动的通知》。其中提出，各地要因地制宜推进汽车流通消费改革试点工作，推动新能源 汽车消费季活动与试点创建工作有机结合。谋划开展智能网联新能源汽车专场推介、试驾 体验等活动，在 ...

东方证券指出，国内Robotaxi布局提速，特斯拉试点有望进一步加快Robotaxi商业化进程。2025年国内 Robotaxi企业规模化投放加速，小马智行将于2025年底将Robotaxi车队规模扩大至千台，文远知行计划 与Uber合作在5年内新增15座国际城市Robotaxi服务，萝卜快跑计划在迪拜部署超过1000台全无人驾驶 汽车积极布局Robotaxi领域；国内出行企业亦积极布局Robotaxi领域，上汽享道出行宣布将与Momenta 合作打造主驾无人Robotaxi车队，哈啰、蚂蚁集团、宁德时代共同成立"上海造父智能科技有限公司"， 推进L4级自动驾驶技术研发和商业化落地。若特斯拉Robotaxi进展顺利，预计其将起到示范效应，促进 国内企业进一步加快Robotaxi商业化进程。 银河证券表示，乘用车板块内需与出口叠加向好，全年乘用车销量预计+6.7%。30万以下销量占比有望 继续提升，"高阶智驾平权"推动竞争格局继续集中。零部件板块方面，产业链整合趋势加速，芯片及解 决方案开发与低碳制造技术是当下聚焦重点，关注智驾增量部件。主机厂、零部件厂有望受益于新兴产 业的快速发展。此外，预计2027年固态电 ...