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热管理之端侧行业深度:主动散热释放端侧AI无限潜力
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-07-30 07:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the heat management industry, driven by the slowdown of Moore's Law and the rise of edge AI applications [1]. Core Insights - The heat management industry is undergoing significant upgrades due to the deceleration of Moore's Law and the explosive growth in cloud computing power demands, leading to increased pressure on thermal management solutions for edge AI applications [1][2]. - Passive cooling methods are nearing their physical limits, prompting a shift towards active cooling technologies in mobile devices [3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Moore's Law Slowdown and Edge AI Iteration - The growth rate of transistor density has significantly slowed, with the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) dropping to single digits for processes below 5nm, indicating the gradual failure of Moore's Law [19][20]. - As performance demands increase, the power consumption per unit area of chips is rising, necessitating enhanced thermal management solutions [24][25]. - The limitations of passive cooling methods are becoming evident, as the area of vapor chambers (VC) is increasing while material iterations are slowing down [43][44]. 2. Transition to Active Cooling Technologies - The industry is expected to enter an active cooling era, with technologies like micro-pump liquid cooling and micro fans becoming more prevalent [3][4]. - By 2030, it is projected that the penetration rate of active cooling in smartphones will reach 30%, with a market size of approximately 20 billion yuan [3][4][75]. 3. Investment Highlights and Beneficiary Segments - Active cooling technologies are anticipated to unlock the full potential of edge AI applications, with significant benefits for companies involved in the thermal management supply chain [4][4]. - Key players in the thermal management module sector include Feirongda, Suzhou Tianmai, and Zhongshi Technology, while chip-related companies include Aiwei Electronics and Nanchip Technology [4][4].