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【国轩高科(002074.SZ)】积木式充换电系统解决重卡痛点,海外布局深入——跟踪报告(殷中枢/陈无忌)
光大证券研究· 2025-04-19 13:17
Core Viewpoint - The electric heavy truck industry is experiencing a significant increase in demand, with a notable growth in sales and advancements in battery technology and charging solutions [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Growth - In Q1 2025, the new energy passenger and commercial vehicle sectors are projected to grow robustly, with sales increasing nearly 50% year-on-year. The new energy heavy truck segment is expected to see sales exceed 23,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of over 150% [2]. - The company has established a customer base that includes well-known enterprises such as Geely, FAW, SANY, Jianghuai, and Shaanxi Automobile in the heavy truck sector [2]. Group 2: Cost Reduction Strategies - For new energy heavy trucks, the efficiency of energy replenishment is a critical challenge. Both fast charging and battery swapping solutions are being developed. Fast charging solutions are being introduced by battery companies for commercial applications, while a fast battery swapping network is also being established [3]. - The battery swapping model significantly reduces the initial purchase cost of heavy trucks, as the battery assets are owned by operators. This, combined with lower electricity prices compared to fuel, can reduce overall operating costs by 30,000 to 60,000 yuan per year [3]. Group 3: Innovative Solutions - The company launched the world's first modular charging and battery swapping system at the ESIE2025, providing a five-minute rapid battery swapping solution for pure electric heavy trucks. This system allows for flexible adjustment of battery pack quantities based on demand, significantly reducing the costs associated with building fixed charging and swapping stations [4]. - The company also showcased several advanced energy storage products, including the third-generation intelligent mobile energy storage charging vehicle and a 7MWh energy storage system [4]. Group 4: Market Position - According to statistics from "Electric Vehicle Resources," the total installed capacity of power batteries for new energy logistics vehicles is expected to reach 26.8 GWh in 2024, with the company achieving an installed capacity of 4.6 GWh, capturing a market share of 17.2%, ranking second in the industry [5]. - The company has established solid partnerships with major players such as SAIC-GM-Wuling, Remote Commercial Vehicles, and Chery Group [5]. Group 5: International Expansion - In December 2024, the company announced investments in Morocco and Slovakia to build high-performance lithium battery production projects with an annual capacity of 20 GWh each. The total investment for these projects is capped at 1.28 billion and 1.234 billion euros, respectively, with construction periods not exceeding five and three years [6]. - This European capacity expansion is aimed at covering the EU market and meeting the EU's carbon footprint assessment requirements [6].