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快手-W(01024):电商业务增长良好,可灵单季度收入超过2.5亿元
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-22 08:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][31] Core Views - The company's e-commerce business is experiencing strong growth, with quarterly revenue exceeding 250 million RMB [3][30] - The adjusted net profit for Q2 2025 is 56.2 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20% [9][31] - The company is expected to maintain a steady performance, with AI continuously empowering its main business [31] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In Q2 2025, the company's revenue reached 35 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 13% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7% [9] - The gross profit margin was 55.7%, up 0.3% year-on-year and 1.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to improved bandwidth server efficiency [9] - The sales expense ratio was 30%, down 2 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a continuous decline in customer acquisition costs [9] Commercialization - E-commerce GMV grew by 18% in Q2 2025, with live e-commerce revenue increasing by 26% [20] - The number of monthly active buyers in e-commerce reached 134 million, with a penetration rate of 19.0% [20] - Advertising revenue for Q2 2025 was 198 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13% [26] AI Product Development - The AI product "Keling" generated over 250 million RMB in revenue in Q2 2025, with a focus on enhancing user interaction experience [30] - The company has raised its annual revenue forecast for Keling AI to 125 million USD due to its successful progress [30] Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts adjusted profits of 202 billion RMB, 238 billion RMB, and 281 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [31] - The expected revenue for 2025 is approximately 143.08 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 12.8% [8]