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京东物流(02618):收入增长亮眼,业务发展势头强劲
HTSC· 2025-08-15 06:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 16.70 [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue growth of 14.1% year-on-year to HKD 98.53 billion in 1H25, with a net profit of HKD 2.58 billion, reflecting a 13.9% increase, slightly above expectations [1][5]. - The growth in revenue and profit is primarily driven by an increase in JD Retail revenue, the addition of JD's food delivery business, and strong growth in external customer business [1][2]. - The company has accelerated its international business expansion, launching a self-operated express service in Saudi Arabia and establishing logistics networks in multiple countries [4][5]. Revenue Breakdown - In 1H25, revenue from JD Group increased by 22.9% year-on-year to HKD 32.46 billion, accounting for 32.9% of total revenue, while external customer revenue rose by 10.2% to HKD 66.07 billion, making up 67.1% of total revenue [2]. - The integrated supply chain business generated HKD 50.11 billion in revenue, up 19.9% year-on-year, with external supply chain customer revenue increasing by 14.7% [2]. Profitability Analysis - The company's gross margin and Non-IFRS profit margin for 1H25 were 9.0% and 3.4%, respectively, both showing a decline compared to the previous year [3]. - The decrease in profit margins is attributed to increased investments in logistics infrastructure and personnel, which are expected to improve profitability in the long term as business volume increases [3]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly raised by 2.6% to HKD 210.41 billion, HKD 231.95 billion, and HKD 254.25 billion, respectively [5]. - Net profit forecasts remain unchanged at HKD 6.90 billion, HKD 8.10 billion, and HKD 9.38 billion for the same period [5].