Workflow
恩卓润®/恩明润
icon
Search documents
华西证券:首予远大医药(00512)“增持”评级 核药释放增长新动能
智通财经网· 2025-11-10 09:41
Core Viewpoint - Huaxi Securities has initiated coverage on Yuan Da Pharmaceutical (00512) with an "Accumulate" rating, highlighting significant upside potential in the company's valuation due to its robust barriers in the nuclear medicine sector and the rollout of innovative drugs [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve total revenues of HKD 12.27 billion, HKD 13.46 billion, and HKD 14.70 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] - Corresponding net profits for the parent company are expected to be HKD 2.01 billion, HKD 2.25 billion, and HKD 2.56 billion for the same years, with EPS estimates of HKD 0.57, HKD 0.63, and HKD 0.72 [1] Group 2: Product Development and Market Potential - The company has successfully completed Phase II clinical trials for its globally pioneering drug STC3141, showing significant improvement in SOFA scores in the high-dose group compared to the baseline, with a p-value of less than 0.05 [1] - STC3141 targets the core of immune dysregulation in sepsis through an innovative mechanism, potentially filling a 40-year gap in targeted drug therapies, and is expected to open a market worth over HKD 10 billion [1] - The company has a solid foundation with over 260 medical insurance products, and core respiratory products like Cheno are projected to drive nearly 27% growth in 2024 [2] Group 3: Business Transformation and Growth - The revenue share from innovative and barrier products has rapidly increased to 51% in the first half of 2025, up from 36.1% in the same period last year, indicating significant transformation [2] - Star products such as Yigan Tai®, Enzhuo Run®/Enming Run® (asthma inhalation preparations), LavaTM, and Nengqilang® are accelerating in market release, creating a favorable dynamic of stable growth in traditional business and explosive growth in innovative business [2] - The company is expected to enter a value reassessment cycle as nuclear medicine expands, innovative drugs are launched, and traditional business remains stable [2]