Core Viewpoint - Sichuan Chengyu (601107.SH) has signed a total construction contract for the Chengya Expressway expansion project, with a maximum contract price of approximately 17.894 billion yuan, which is expected to enhance the company's profitability and asset scale stability [1][2][3]. Group 1: Project Details - The Chengya Expressway is a core asset of Sichuan Chengyu, with existing toll rights expiring on December 31, 2029. The company is expanding this expressway to optimize its revenue before the toll expiration [2][3]. - The construction, operation, management, and transfer of the G5 Jingkun Expressway Chengdu to Ya'an section expansion project will be handled by Chengya Company, a subsidiary of Sichuan Chengyu, in collaboration with three related parties [2][3]. - The total estimated investment for the Chengya Expressway expansion project is approximately 28.548 billion yuan, with the project route length being 159.115 kilometers [5]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Sichuan Chengyu's net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 1.3 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of over 15% [1][8]. - The company's asset-liability ratio decreased to 66.38% by the end of September 2025, indicating improved financial stability [9]. - The company has experienced a continuous increase in net profit since 2023, with a reported net profit of 1.387 billion yuan in 2023 and 1.459 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting growth rates of 90.15% and 22.91%, respectively [8][9].

Group 1: Sichuan Chengyu - Sichuan Chengyu discussed plans for expiring road assets, including specific measures for Chengle Expressway, Chengya Expressway, Chengyu Expressway, and North City Expressway [1] - Chengle Expressway has initiated expansion and renovation, while the Chengya Expressway project is yet to start, with investment amounts still to be determined [1] - The company has no current plans to issue REITs or other financing tools, and its declining debt-to-asset ratio is attributed to stable cash flow from highways and cost reduction efforts [1] - The company aims to enhance service quality at service areas and is developing a comprehensive energy station network along the routes [1] Group 2: World - World introduced future development trends for superhard tools, highlighting their advantages in micro-machining, high-speed and ultra-high-speed machining, and precision machining [2] - The company has made significant progress in the development of tools for screw processing, achieving performance levels comparable to foreign counterparts and is actively expanding its market [2] - World has years of research and technical reserves in CVD diamond preparation and applications, with products covering multiple fields, some of which have begun market promotion [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Sichuan Chengyu [2][8] Core Views - The report emphasizes that there is still a significant expectation gap in the market regarding Sichuan Chengyu, despite its strong performance in revenue growth and cash dividends [6][8] - The analysis is based on four dimensions: asset quality, dividend capability, earnings growth certainty, and future growth potential [6][8] Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Asset Quality - The company's road assets are strategically located, with toll revenue growth and profitability ranking among the industry leaders. The toll revenue has a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11% over the past three years, second only to China Merchants Highway [6][9] - The overall profitability of the company's road assets is also among the highest in the industry, with a toll gross margin of 59.6% in 2024, just behind Guangdong Highway and Anhui Expressway [9][21] 2. Dividend Capability - The company has shown a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders, with a dividend payout ratio increased to over 60% in 2023 and maintained in 2024, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.05%, making it the only highway stock in A-shares with a yield above 5% [6][30] - Capital expenditures are expected to decline, with a projected free cash flow of 650 million in 2024, indicating a stronger and sustainable internal cash dividend capability [9][30] 3. Earnings Growth Certainty - Future earnings growth is expected to be driven by natural growth in traffic and toll revenue, with financial expenses likely to decrease significantly. The company is expected to benefit from a long-term interest rate decline [9][10] - The company has a seven-year performance commitment for the second ring road, providing significant growth support and profit elasticity in the medium to long term [9][10] 4. Growth Potential - The company is seen as undervalued in terms of growth potential, with a low asset securitization rate compared to other provinces. The integration of high-quality road resources with the support of the Shudao Group is ongoing [9][10] - The report draws parallels with Anhui Expressway, which has successfully achieved a virtuous cycle of "market value-dividend-assets" since 2021, suggesting a similar path for Sichuan Chengyu [9][10] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.58 billion, 1.71 billion, and 1.84 billion, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.52, 0.56, and 0.60, and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11, 10, and 10 times [10][11] - The target price is set at 7.75 yuan for A-shares and 6.01 HKD for H-shares, indicating a potential upside of 35% and 39% from the current prices, respectively [10][11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Sichuan Chengyu is implementing various measures to optimize costs and increase profits in 2024, with significant growth in traffic and toll revenue due to the completion of the Chengle Expressway expansion [1] - The company is focusing on cost control and financial optimization to reduce losses in the Suiguang-Suixi project, while still achieving profitability in the Rongcheng Second Ring Road despite macroeconomic challenges [1] - The company is benefiting from the growth of the new energy vehicle market and internal management improvements, leading to a turnaround in profitability for Shudao New Energy [1] - The profits of Zhonglu Energy and Chengya Oil Company have improved due to increased oil sales and refined management practices [1] - The company plans to focus on its core business, enhance maintenance management, and expand comprehensive energy development and service-oriented businesses, while maintaining a high dividend payout ratio and steadily advancing asset injections [1] Group 2 - Beijing Hanhe Capital Management Co., Ltd. is a member of the China Securities Investment Fund Industry Association, established in January 2013, and obtained a private investment fund management license in June 2014 [2] - Hanhe Capital adheres to a long-term value investment philosophy, emphasizing that without a long-term perspective, there can be no victory [2] - The company aims to build an investment philosophy based on long-term thinking, achieving long-term win-win outcomes with excellent enterprises [2] - Hanhe Capital's value proposition includes ultra-long-term, exquisite, and sustainable principles, ensuring alignment of interests between the management and investors by not charging fixed management fees [2]