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【私募调研记录】蓝墨投资调研四川成渝、沃尔德
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-16 00:07
Group 1: Sichuan Chengyu - Sichuan Chengyu discussed plans for expiring road assets, including specific measures for Chengle Expressway, Chengya Expressway, Chengyu Expressway, and North City Expressway [1] - Chengle Expressway has initiated expansion and renovation, while the Chengya Expressway project is yet to start, with investment amounts still to be determined [1] - The company has no current plans to issue REITs or other financing tools, and its declining debt-to-asset ratio is attributed to stable cash flow from highways and cost reduction efforts [1] - The company aims to enhance service quality at service areas and is developing a comprehensive energy station network along the routes [1] Group 2: World - World introduced future development trends for superhard tools, highlighting their advantages in micro-machining, high-speed and ultra-high-speed machining, and precision machining [2] - The company has made significant progress in the development of tools for screw processing, achieving performance levels comparable to foreign counterparts and is actively expanding its market [2] - World has years of research and technical reserves in CVD diamond preparation and applications, with products covering multiple fields, some of which have begun market promotion [2]
四川成渝(601107):“大集团+小公司”战略,高股息有望带来价值提升
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-06-08 15:03
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Sichuan Chengyu (601107.SH) based on its strategic advantages and high dividend potential [6][9]. Core Views - Sichuan Chengyu, as a subsidiary of Shudao Group, focuses on transportation infrastructure investment, operation, construction, and management, along with green energy investment and resource development [8][19]. - The company aims to enhance its road network scale and operational efficiency, projecting steady revenue growth, with expected revenues of 10.36 billion yuan in 2024 and a net profit of 1.46 billion yuan [8][11]. - The "Big Group + Small Company" strategy is expected to drive resource integration and operational efficiency, enhancing shareholder returns through a commitment to a minimum cash dividend payout ratio of 60% of net profit from 2023 to 2025 [8][11]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of June 6, 2025, the closing price is 6.39 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 19.54 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 66.62% [4][7]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1.56 billion, 1.69 billion, and 1.88 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12.6, 11.6, and 10.4 [9][11]. - The company is compared with peers like Ninghu Expressway, Shenzhen Expressway, and Guangdong Expressway A, indicating a strong position in the western highway operation sector [9][11]. Business Structure - The core business includes highway bridge management and maintenance, contributing 46.10% to revenue in 2024, while construction services and sales from service areas account for 26.09% and 23.91% respectively [20][23]. - The company operates approximately 900 kilometers of highways, with ongoing projects adding another 136.1 kilometers, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.91% in operational mileage from 2009 to 2024 [41][42]. Revenue and Profitability - The company’s revenue is expected to grow due to increased traffic and operational efficiency, with a projected revenue of 11.22 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting an 8.28% year-on-year growth [7][10]. - The average remaining toll collection period for the company's assets is 11.13 years, providing ample time for traffic growth and revenue realization [47]. Shareholder Returns - Sichuan Chengyu has a strong commitment to shareholder returns, having distributed over 5.9 billion yuan in cash dividends since its listing, with a planned minimum cash dividend payout ratio of 60% for the years 2023-2025 [37][38].
四川成渝:做优存量做大增量 以高分红回报投资者
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-06-03 20:40
Core Viewpoint - Sichuan Chengyu (601107) is the only A+H share listed infrastructure company in Western China, focusing on enhancing its core competitiveness in the highway sector while providing high dividends to attract investors [1][6] Business Strategy - The company aims to strengthen its main business by upgrading existing roads, asset integration, and acquiring quality road assets [1][3] - Sichuan Chengyu's highway assets are strategically located in economically developed and tourist areas of Sichuan, which supports stable toll revenue despite concerns about competition from high-speed rail [2][3] Financial Performance - In 2024, the average daily traffic on Chengyu Highway is projected to be 20,600 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 1.15%, with toll revenue expected to reach 855 million yuan, up 4.20% year-on-year [2] - The company has a high dividend payout ratio, with a planned cash distribution of at least 60% of net profit for the years 2023-2025, and a dividend ratio of 61.83% in 2023 [6][7] Investment and Growth Opportunities - Sichuan Chengyu is exploring diversification into emerging industries such as smart driving and low-altitude economy, with a focus on integrating drone technology into highway operations [3][4] - The company has initiated drone inspections on several highways, significantly improving efficiency and reducing operational costs [4][5] New Business Development - The comprehensive energy business is showing initial success, providing charging services for 3.325 million electric vehicles in 2024, with charging revenue exceeding 100 million yuan for the first time [6] - Sichuan Chengyu operates 313 charging stations and 2,275 charging piles, with significant growth in charging volume and frequency during the recent holiday period [6] Market Position and Shareholder Engagement - The company's A and H shares have reached nearly ten-year highs, attracting attention from institutional investors focused on stable performance and dividend policies [6][7] - The company is committed to enhancing operational efficiency and optimizing its business structure to increase profitability and shareholder returns [7]
四川成渝(601107)深度研究报告:四维度解析四川成渝,市场仍存在较大预期差
Huachuang Securities· 2025-05-14 13:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Sichuan Chengyu [2][8] Core Views - The report emphasizes that there is still a significant expectation gap in the market regarding Sichuan Chengyu, despite its strong performance in revenue growth and cash dividends [6][8] - The analysis is based on four dimensions: asset quality, dividend capability, earnings growth certainty, and future growth potential [6][8] Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Asset Quality - The company's road assets are strategically located, with toll revenue growth and profitability ranking among the industry leaders. The toll revenue has a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11% over the past three years, second only to China Merchants Highway [6][9] - The overall profitability of the company's road assets is also among the highest in the industry, with a toll gross margin of 59.6% in 2024, just behind Guangdong Highway and Anhui Expressway [9][21] 2. Dividend Capability - The company has shown a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders, with a dividend payout ratio increased to over 60% in 2023 and maintained in 2024, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.05%, making it the only highway stock in A-shares with a yield above 5% [6][30] - Capital expenditures are expected to decline, with a projected free cash flow of 650 million in 2024, indicating a stronger and sustainable internal cash dividend capability [9][30] 3. Earnings Growth Certainty - Future earnings growth is expected to be driven by natural growth in traffic and toll revenue, with financial expenses likely to decrease significantly. The company is expected to benefit from a long-term interest rate decline [9][10] - The company has a seven-year performance commitment for the second ring road, providing significant growth support and profit elasticity in the medium to long term [9][10] 4. Growth Potential - The company is seen as undervalued in terms of growth potential, with a low asset securitization rate compared to other provinces. The integration of high-quality road resources with the support of the Shudao Group is ongoing [9][10] - The report draws parallels with Anhui Expressway, which has successfully achieved a virtuous cycle of "market value-dividend-assets" since 2021, suggesting a similar path for Sichuan Chengyu [9][10] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.58 billion, 1.71 billion, and 1.84 billion, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.52, 0.56, and 0.60, and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11, 10, and 10 times [10][11] - The target price is set at 7.75 yuan for A-shares and 6.01 HKD for H-shares, indicating a potential upside of 35% and 39% from the current prices, respectively [10][11]