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久立特材(002318):公司25H1归母净利同比增长28.48%
HTSC· 2025-08-26 04:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 27.44 [1][3][11] Core Views - The company reported a 28.48% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025, reaching RMB 8.28 billion, with revenue of RMB 61.05 billion, reflecting a 26.39% increase [7][11] - The company is focusing on high-end product development, which is expected to accelerate, and has a strong dividend profile, enhancing its investment value [7][10] Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 27.20%, up 2.29 percentage points year-on-year, despite a seasonal decline in Q2 [8] - The company’s revenue for Q2 2025 was RMB 32.23 billion, a 31.97% increase year-on-year, with net profit of RMB 4.38 billion, up 38.74% year-on-year [7][8] Market Position and Product Development - The company maintains a leading market share in the domestic market, with a production capacity of 200,000 tons of finished pipes and a focus on high-value-added products [9] - High-end products accounted for approximately 20% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 15.42% [9] Overseas Investment and Dividend Policy - The company’s overseas investment in EBK has significantly contributed to its performance, with overseas sales revenue increasing by 92.94% year-on-year [10] - The dividend payout ratio for 2024 is expected to exceed 60%, with projected dividend yields of 4.69%, 5.05%, and 5.45% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10][11] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.72% from 2025 to 2027, with expected net profits of RMB 1.727 billion, RMB 1.857 billion, and RMB 2.004 billion respectively [11] - The target price corresponds to a PE ratio of 15.5 times for 2025, based on the company’s growth potential and high dividend yield [11]