抗胸腺基质淋巴细胞生成素(TSLP)单克隆抗体(mAb)SKB378/HBM93781

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 科伦药业(002422):Q2收入持续恢复,创新药逐步兑现
 Tai Ping Yang Zheng Quan· 2025-09-01 14:41
 Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 44, compared to the last closing price of 36.46 [1][7]   Core Insights - The company has shown a recovery in Q2 revenue, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 6.90%, despite a year-on-year decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025 [4][5] - The innovative drug pipeline is entering a harvest phase, with several products receiving approvals and expected to contribute to future revenue growth [6][7]   Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 90.83 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 23.20%, and a net profit of 10.01 billion, down 44.41% year-on-year [4][5] - The gross profit for the first half was 45.19 billion, with a gross margin of 49.76%, a decrease of 4.07 percentage points compared to the same period last year [5] - The company’s operating expenses showed a slight increase, with a sales expense ratio of 15.82%, a decrease of 0.40 percentage points year-on-year, while the management expense ratio increased by 1.60 percentage points [5]   Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 202.75 billion, 221.00 billion, and 243.00 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -7.05%, +9.00%, and +9.95% [7][9] - The forecasted net profit for the same years is 28.48 billion, 30.17 billion, and 32.01 billion, with growth rates of -3.01%, +5.96%, and +6.09% [7][9]   Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The report indicates that the impact of centralized procurement on the company is expected to weaken, while the continuous contribution from innovative drugs is anticipated to drive growth [7]
