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耐普矿机(300818):公司事件点评报告:合同订单稳步推进,参股矿山值得期待
Huaxin Securities· 2025-07-05 12:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has signed significant contracts, including a total of 1,885.25 million USD (approximately 135.17 million RMB) in contracts with a mining company in Kazakhstan [4] - The company has successfully developed a new forged composite liner product that significantly outperforms traditional cast steel in terms of hardness, wear resistance, impact resistance, and corrosion resistance [5] - The establishment of overseas production bases is progressing steadily, with a factory in Zambia already operational and expected to drive significant revenue growth [6] - The company has acquired a 22.5% stake in Veritas Resources AG, participating in the development of the Alacran copper-silver mine project in Colombia, which is expected to enhance its resource and manufacturing capabilities [7][8] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 11.53 billion, 14.44 billion, and 17.59 billion RMB, with corresponding EPS of 0.71, 0.96, and 1.25 RMB, indicating a strong growth trajectory [9] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company has shown a positive market performance compared to the CSI 300 index [2][3] Investment Highlights - The new forged composite liner product has a lifespan of 7.5 months, which is 1.5-2 times longer than metal liners, leading to increased order growth [5] - The company is transitioning from an export trade model to a global production service model, enhancing its market presence [6] - The investment in the Alacran project is expected to yield a post-tax IRR of 23.8%, indicating strong economic potential [7] Financial Forecast - The company is expected to experience steady revenue growth, with a projected increase in net profit from 116 million RMB in 2024 to 212 million RMB in 2027 [11] - The gross margin is expected to remain stable, with slight fluctuations projected over the forecast period [12]