Group 1 - The Peruvian President Boluarte announced that short-term mining investments in Peru will exceed $6 billion [1] - The mining sector in Peru has 65 projects with a total asset value of $65 billion [1]

Group 1: Gold Market Insights - International gold prices have surpassed $3,350, with Goldman Sachs predicting a rise to $4,000, while Citigroup forecasts a more conservative $3,000 [1] - Analysts warn that gold prices have increased by 125% over the past three years, suggesting a potential need for a breather [1] Group 2: Zijin Mining Performance - Zijin Mining reported a net profit of 23.2 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 54%, achieving its annual profit in just six months [3] - In Q2 alone, Zijin Mining's profit reached 13 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter growth of 27%, averaging 1.28 billion yuan per day [3] - Despite strong performance, Zijin Mining's stock fell by 1.71% post-earnings announcement, with the chairman expressing frustration over the market undervaluing their gold [3] Group 3: Revenue Breakdown and Business Strategy - Zijin Mining's revenue is expected to be 36.77 billion yuan from gold and 31.07 billion yuan from copper in 2024, indicating a balanced profit source [5] - The company has engaged in significant acquisitions, including a 13.7 billion yuan purchase of Zangge Mining and a $1.2 billion acquisition of Kazakhstan's RG Gold, which are expected to enhance profitability [5] - New projects in Shandong and Tibet are anticipated to boost gold production to 85 tons and copper output to over 1.15 million tons, effectively doubling Zijin Mining's capacity [5] Group 4: Silver Market Dynamics - Silver prices surged, with London silver reaching over $39 per ounce, a 35% increase this year, outpacing gold's 27% rise [6] - The demand for silver is driven by the solar industry and electric vehicles, with a projected supply shortage of 5,000 tons in 2024 [6] Group 5: Stock Performance in Silver Sector - Stocks related to silver, such as Hunan Silver and Xingye Mining, have seen significant price increases, with Hunan Silver's stock rising over 52% this year [7] - Hunan Silver's net profit is expected to increase significantly, while Zijin Mining's silver production reached a record high of 223 tons [7] - Investors are advised to consider the financial strength of mining companies, with Zijin Mining's extensive portfolio providing stability compared to smaller firms [7]

Industry Investment Rating - Cautiously bullish [8] Core Viewpoints - The current spot TC price of copper concentrate remains low, but the mid-year long-term contract price signed by Antofagasta and Chinese smelters is $0/ton, which is better than the current spot price. - Due to the premium of Comex copper price, LME and domestic inventories are continuously flowing to the US market, leading to persistent squeeze pressure. Coupled with the recent increase in risk sentiment, it is favorable for copper prices. - The operation of copper varieties is recommended to focus on buying hedges on dips, with the buying range suggested between RMB 78,600/ton and RMB 79,200/ton. The option strategy is to sell put options at RMB 78,000/ton [8]. Summary by Directory Market News and Important Data - **Futures Quotes**: On July 2, 2025, the main contract of Shanghai copper opened at RMB 80,620/ton and closed at RMB 80,540/ton, down 0.12% from the previous trading day's close. The night session opened at RMB 80,560/ton and closed at RMB 80,900/ton, up 0.35% from the afternoon close [1]. - **Spot Situation**: High copper prices have suppressed downstream demand. Although there is a demand for low-price purchases, the overall situation is not ideal. The supply in Changzhou is tight, and the transaction is better than that in Shanghai. It is expected that the spot premium will continue to be suppressed, but the downward space is limited [2]. - **Important Information Summary** - **Macro and Geopolitical**: The US ADP employment decreased by 33,000 in June, and the Challenger job - cuts reached 47,999, the lowest since December 2024. Interest rate futures almost fully price in a Fed rate cut in September. Trump announced a trade agreement with Vietnam. China's National Development and Reform Commission has arranged over RMB 300 billion for the third - batch "two - major" construction projects in 2025 [3]. - **Mine End**: India will send geologists to Zambia for copper and cobalt exploration. Chile's Congress passed the "Investment Project Approval Acceleration Act", which is expected to shorten project approval time by 30% - 70%. Peruvian non - formal miners' roadblocks have disrupted copper transportation [4]. - **Smelting and Import**: From January to May 2025, Russia's exports of basic metals to China increased significantly, with copper exports up 66% year - on - year [5]. - **Consumption**: The operating rate of the domestic refined copper rod industry dropped to 74.01%, and that of copper cable enterprises dropped to 70.18%. Some enterprises faced losses due to rising raw material prices and had to cut production. The estimated wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles in June were 1.26 million, up 29% year - on - year [6][7]. - **Inventory and Warehouse Receipts**: LME warehouse receipts changed by 625 tons to 93,250 tons, SHFE warehouse receipts changed by 324 tons to 25,097 tons, and the domestic electrolytic copper spot inventory on June 30 was 126,100 tons, a change of - 4,000 tons from the previous week [7]. Strategy - **Copper Varieties**: Buy hedges on dips, with the buying range between RMB 78,600/ton and RMB 79,200/ton [8]. - **Option Strategy**: Sell put options at RMB 78,000/ton [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Rio Tinto (RIO.N), plans to invest over $13 billion in new mines, plants, and equipment over the next three years [1] Investment Plans - The investment will focus on expanding operations through new mining projects and enhancing existing facilities [1] - This significant capital allocation indicates the company's commitment to growth and development in the mining sector [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Peru's mining sector is expected to see significant investment and production growth in the current year [1] Group 2 - Mining investment in Peru is projected to reach $4.8 billion this year [1] - Copper production in Peru is anticipated to reach 2.8 million tons this year [1]

观点聚焦 理由 秘鲁：宏观环境稳定，社区关系逐步改善 。 秘鲁铜矿资源禀赋优异，索尔币值稳定、经贸政策开放，但社区关系是其主要挑战。本次调研我们观察到当地 中资矿企的国际化管理和ESG融合能力正在显著提升，对改善经营的稳定性有重要意义。 巴西：优异资源禀赋和规模经济带来显著的成本优势。 巴西锂矿 成本具备全球竞争力，我们认为主要来源于不输澳矿的资源禀赋、显著优于非洲的基础设施配套以及与中国相似的低要素成本优势。此外，巴西拥有丰富且 优质的铁矿和桉树资源，铁矿石矿端成本以及阔叶浆现金成本均处于全球低位。 阿根廷：经济改革将是阿根廷矿业发展的核心变量。 我们认为在积极的情 况下经济改革有望带来更低的通胀、更宽松的审批环境、更稳定的税收政策、更少的贸易管制，有望驱动阿根廷盐湖的成本上涨放缓、盈利能力增强、投资 力度加大和开发效率提升。 如何理解中资矿企在南美的国际化？ 相比非洲，南美国家呈现经济发展程度较高、基础设施配套较好、欧美和本土矿企竞争激烈以及"小政府、大社区"的 特征。如果说中资矿企在非洲国际化的本质是在非洲的"中国化"，那么中资矿企在南美国际化的本质则是在南美的"本土化"，这需要更高阶的国际化能力。 一 ...