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TrendForce集邦咨询:2025年第三季新能源车销量年增31% 全年预计年增长25%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 06:01
Core Insights - Global sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) are projected to reach 5.39 million units in Q3 2025, representing a 31% year-on-year increase, with battery electric vehicles (BEVs) expected to account for 3.71 million units, a 48% increase, and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) at 1.67 million units, a 4% increase [1] NEV Market Overview - BYD leads the BEV market with a 15.4% market share, while Tesla follows with 13.4% [2] - In the PHEV segment, BYD also holds the top position with a 27.9% market share, followed by AITO at 6.8% [2] Company Performance - BYD remains the BEV sales champion in Q3, although its sales decreased compared to Q2 [4] - Tesla showed strong performance in Q3 with a 29% quarter-on-quarter increase, driven by U.S. market subsidies and growth in China [4] - Geely and Leapmotor demonstrated significant growth, achieving market shares of 6% and 4.1% respectively, surpassing Xpeng for two consecutive quarters [4] - Volkswagen's ranking fell to seventh due to a decline in the Chinese market, offsetting gains in Europe and the U.S. [4] - Hyundai ranked ninth with a quarterly decline but year-on-year growth [4] - BMW's BEV sales continued to decrease, posing challenges to its annual growth targets [4] PHEV Market Dynamics - BYD faces saturation and intense competition in the Chinese PHEV market, with a quarterly increase but year-on-year decline in sales [5] - AITO, Chery, and Geely have risen to the second to fourth positions, with Chery's market share increasing to 6.6% [5] - Li Auto, despite being the second in sales in Q2, experienced both quarterly and yearly declines due to increasing competition from REEV models [5] - European brands like Mercedes-Benz and BMW saw quarterly declines but performed better than the previous year in the U.S. and parts of Europe [5] Future Projections - TrendForce forecasts global NEV sales to reach 20.43 million units in 2025, a 25% year-on-year increase [5] - For 2026, despite regional subsidy policy adjustments leading to market disparities, global NEV sales are expected to rise to 22.8 million units, a 12% growth [5]