Summary of Deep Sea Technology Research Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: Deep Sea Technology, recognized as a strategic emerging industry in the 2025 government work report alongside commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy [1][2] - **Market Sentiment**: The deep sea technology sector has experienced three rounds of speculation this year, indicating high market expectations [1] Core Insights and Arguments - **Military Applications**: Deep sea technology is utilized for deep sea presence, target reconnaissance, environmental forecasting, and combat system construction [4] - **Civil Applications**: Focuses on scientific research and resource development, particularly in the East China Sea and South China Sea regions, which are expected to receive more policy support [4] - **Government Support**: The national strategy emphasizes innovation and strengthening the manufacturing sector, with significant policies introduced since 2012 to promote deep sea technology [5] - **Local Government Initiatives**: Provinces like Guangdong and Shanghai are actively developing underwater equipment and observation systems, reflecting a commitment to enhance underwater detection capabilities [6][7] Investment Opportunities - **Current Market Position**: The deep sea technology sector has not yet seen significant catalysts, but military and related companies' stock prices have stabilized, indicating a relatively safe investment position [2] - **Future Demand**: As the "15th Five-Year Plan" becomes clearer, demand in the deep sea sector is expected to materialize, making it a good time for investment [2] International Developments - **U.S. Investment**: The U.S. has significantly increased its underwater combat system budget, with a compound annual growth rate of 10.52% for Virginia and Columbia-class submarines from 2011 to 2026 [8] - **Comparison with China**: The U.S. has 67 submarines, 49 of which are nuclear-powered, while China has 59 submarines with a much lower proportion of nuclear-powered vessels, indicating a need for further development in this area [8] Domestic Company Progress - **Key Players**: Companies like China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (CSIC) and China Power have seen significant increases in related transactions, indicating steady progress in underwater combat equipment development [9] - **Investment in Infrastructure**: The construction of the underwater monitoring network is advancing, with a total investment of 2.1 billion yuan, and the East China Sea subnet entering full construction [12] Economic Context - **Marine Economy Growth**: The domestic marine production value is projected to reach 10.54 trillion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 5.9% [13] - **Resource Development Initiatives**: Projects are underway for deep-sea energy, metal mineral resources, and biological resources, although technology is still in the experimental phase [13] Notable Companies to Watch - **Upstream Materials**: Companies involved in titanium alloy production, such as Western Superconducting Technologies and BaoTi, are noteworthy due to their advancements in shipbuilding materials [14] - **Midstream Equipment**: Companies like China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation 725 and Xiangdian are significant for their roles in underwater equipment and electrical power systems [15] - **Downstream Manufacturing**: China Shipbuilding Group's shipyards are primarily focused on civil ship projects, making upstream and midstream sectors particularly attractive for investment [15]

Group 1: War Evolution and Technology - The article discusses the shift from traditional warfare to a new form of "intelligent warfare" characterized by the use of drones, AI, and real-time data collaboration [2][5][11] - Historical context shows that warfare has always evolved with technological advancements, moving from manpower in the cold weapon era to industrial warfare and now to intelligent warfare [4][5][11] Group 2: Military Spending Implications - If major global powers increase military spending to 5% of GDP, it would lead to a structural transformation in military economics [6][10] - Current military expenditures are approximately $997 billion for the US (3.5% of GDP), $314 billion for China (1.6% of GDP), and €343 billion for the EU (1.9% of GDP) [7][8][9] - The global military expenditure could potentially double from $2.7 trillion to over $5 trillion, with 30%-35% allocated to equipment procurement and intelligent system development [10] Group 3: Key Defense Companies Overview - Major defense companies and their financials for 2024-2025 include: - RTX (Raytheon Technologies): Market Cap $193.2 billion, Revenue $67.5 billion, Growth +7% [21] - Lockheed Martin: Market Cap $107.4 billion, Revenue $68 billion, Growth +4% [21] - Northrop Grumman: Market Cap $71.1 billion, Revenue $39 billion, Growth +5% [21] - General Dynamics: Market Cap $78 billion, Revenue $42 billion, Growth +6% [21] - BAE Systems: Market Cap $75 billion, Revenue $38 billion, Growth +9% [21] - Thales: Market Cap $60.9 billion, Revenue $22 billion, Growth +3% [21] - Rheinmetall: Market Cap $92.8 billion, Revenue $22 billion, Growth +12% [21] - Leonardo: Market Cap $19.6 billion, Revenue $15 billion, Growth +2% [21] - Elbit Systems: Market Cap $6.9 billion, Revenue $5.5 billion, Growth +6% [21] - Hanwha Aerospace: Market Cap $7.8 billion, Revenue $7 billion, Growth +8% [21] Group 4: Future Warfare Scenarios - Potential future scenarios include: - A full-scale intelligent war driven by AI and unmanned systems if major powers enter irreconcilable conflicts [22] - A normalization of low-intensity, multi-regional conflicts without full-scale wars or true peace [23] - The possibility of peace being restructured through technology that helps prevent conflicts [24]