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隆鑫通用(603766):2025Q3业绩延续高增,看好无极海外持续破圈
HUAXI Securities· 2025-10-31 13:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 14.557 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.14%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.577 billion yuan, up 76.45% year-on-year, with a non-recurring net profit of 1.529 billion yuan, an increase of 81.47% year-on-year [3] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.805 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.55%, and a net profit of 503 million yuan, up 62.48% year-on-year, driven by business scale growth, product structure optimization, and improved operational efficiency [3][4] - The company has seen significant cash flow improvement, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 2.688 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a substantial increase due to business scale growth and higher receipts from sales and export tax refunds [3] Summary by Sections Revenue Growth - The company has demonstrated robust revenue growth, with the "Wuji" brand maintaining strong performance in overseas markets despite seasonal challenges. The revenue growth rate for "Wuji" is expected to remain in double digits [4] - The company has successfully expanded its sales network, establishing over 1,000 sales points both domestically and internationally, with a focus on deepening its presence in the European market and expanding into Central and South America and Southeast Asia [4] Profitability Improvement - The company's profitability has improved, with gross and net profit margins of 18.80% and 10.42%, respectively, reflecting increases of 1.15 percentage points and 3.71 percentage points year-on-year. The improvement in gross margin is attributed to product structure optimization [5] - The company has effectively controlled costs, with a decrease in the expense ratio to 4.83%, down 4.47 percentage points year-on-year [5] Investment Recommendations - The company has established a strong brand presence in the European market and is expected to continue its expansion in Europe and South America. The all-terrain vehicle business is also seeing significant upgrades and product diversification, which will support future growth [6] - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 20.0 billion, 23.36 billion, and 26.87 billion yuan, with growth rates of 18.9%, 16.8%, and 15.0%, respectively. The net profit forecasts are 2.03 billion, 2.446 billion, and 2.894 billion yuan, with growth rates of 81%, 20.5%, and 18.3% [6][8]