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隆鑫通用(603766):2025年秋季策略会速递:无极势能向上,掘金海外广阔市场
HTSC· 2025-08-29 08:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of 21.71 RMB [7]. Core Insights - The company is focusing on enhancing its self-owned brand product line, with revenue from the "Wuji" brand increasing by 30.2% year-on-year to 1.98 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, indicating a clear trend of self-owned brand driving growth [2]. - The company is aggressively expanding its overseas market presence through a "1+N" strategy, achieving a market share of 6.5% in Spain and 4.4% in Portugal, with plans to penetrate further into Germany and France [3]. - Operational efficiency is being improved, with a decrease in selling and administrative expense ratio by 1.65 percentage points to 3.5% in the first half of 2025, enhancing profitability [4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company expects revenue growth of 15.3% in 2025, 17.6% in 2026, and 18.4% in 2027, with net profit attributable to the parent company projected to increase by 69% in 2025, 24% in 2026, and 21% in 2027, reaching 1.90 billion RMB, 2.36 billion RMB, and 2.85 billion RMB respectively [5][11]. Valuation Metrics - The company is projected to have a PE ratio of 23.6x for 2025, with a target price of 21.71 RMB based on this valuation [5][12]. Market Positioning - The company is enhancing its product matrix in the motorcycle segment, focusing on high-performance and personalized products to capture mainstream domestic racing and cruising markets [2]. Operational Strategy - The company is optimizing supply chain management in collaboration with its new controlling shareholder, aiming to create a smart supply chain to strengthen market competitiveness [4]. Financial Performance Indicators - The company’s revenue for 2024 is expected to be 16.82 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 28.74%, and a projected net profit of 1.12 billion RMB, reflecting a significant increase of 92.19% [11].