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纺织服饰:专题:奢侈品集体改善
Huafu Securities· 2025-10-26 10:17
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the luxury goods sector [7]. Core Insights - The luxury goods sector is showing signs of recovery, particularly in the Greater China region, with brands reporting varying degrees of improvement in Q3 2025 compared to Q2 [2][3]. - LVMH's Q3 2025 revenue grew by 1% year-on-year to €18.28 billion, with significant improvement in the Chinese market [3][18]. - Hermes reported a 9.6% year-on-year revenue increase in Q3 2025, with growth across all regions [4][24]. - Kering's revenue decline narrowed significantly to 5% year-on-year in Q3 2025, indicating a recovery trend [5][28]. Summary by Sections Luxury Goods Performance - LVMH's revenue in Q3 2025 showed a year-on-year increase of 1%, driven by fashion and leather goods, with notable recovery in the Chinese market [3][18]. - Hermes achieved a revenue of €3.9 billion in Q3 2025, with a 9.6% year-on-year growth, outperforming analyst expectations [4][24]. - Kering's Q3 2025 revenue was €3.42 billion, reflecting a 10% decline year-on-year, but an improvement from previous quarters [5][28]. Regional Performance - In Asia (excluding Japan), LVMH, Hermes, and Kering reported year-on-year revenue changes of +2%, +6%, and -16%, respectively, indicating a mixed recovery across brands [2][3]. - Hermes experienced strong growth in Japan, with a 13.8% increase, while the Americas saw a 14.1% growth [4][24]. Brand-Specific Insights - LVMH's organic revenue growth varied by region, with the U.S. and Asia (excluding Japan) showing improvements of +3% and +2%, respectively [3][18]. - Kering's brands, including Gucci and YSL, reported declines of -14% and -4%, respectively, in Q3 2025, but showed signs of recovery compared to previous quarters [5][28].