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双环传动(002472):2Q业绩符合预期,高毛利业务占比稳健提升
Huachuang Securities· 2025-08-28 08:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 48.7 CNY [2][9]. Core Insights - The company's 2Q25 performance met expectations, with a notable increase in the proportion of high-margin businesses contributing to net profit growth [9]. - Revenue for 2Q25 was 21.4 billion CNY, down 3.7% year-on-year, while net profit rose by 20% year-on-year to 3.01 billion CNY, indicating a net profit margin of 15.0% [9]. - The company is actively transforming its commercial vehicle gear business and expanding its passenger vehicle gear operations in Hungary, which is expected to drive future growth [9]. - The intelligent actuator business is stable, with new growth opportunities in the robot reducer market, positioning the company as a key supplier in this sector [9]. - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 has been adjusted upwards, reflecting a positive outlook for the company's performance [9]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 8,781 million CNY in 2024 to 14,179 million CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.7% [4]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 1,024 million CNY in 2024 to 1,866 million CNY in 2027, with a CAGR of 21.9% [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.21 CNY in 2024 to 2.20 CNY in 2027 [4]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 30 times in 2024 to 17 times in 2027, indicating a potentially more attractive valuation over time [4].