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银轮股份(002126):2025年上半年利润小幅提升,拓展数据中心液冷、机器人等新领域
Guoxin Securities· 2025-09-03 15:22
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the company [6][36] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 7.17 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.5%, with a net profit of 440 million yuan, up 9.5% year-on-year [7][8] - The growth in revenue is attributed to the recovery in commercial vehicle sales and rapid expansion in the digital energy business, with a notable increase in the sales of new energy vehicle thermal management products [7][8] - The company has a robust order backlog, with new orders expected to contribute approximately 9.073 billion yuan in annual sales revenue once fully realized [30] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2025H1, the company reported a revenue of 71.7 billion yuan, a 16.5% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 4.4 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.5% growth [7][8] - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenues of 37.5 billion yuan, up 17.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.3 billion yuan, an increase of 8.3% year-on-year [7][8] - The company's gross margin in Q2 2025 was 18.8%, down 2.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 7.0%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [2][17] Business Segments - The commercial vehicle and non-road business generated 2.43 billion yuan in revenue in 2025H1, a 3.9% increase year-on-year, while the digital energy business saw a revenue of 690 million yuan, up 58.9% [7][8] - The passenger vehicle segment reported a revenue of 3.83 billion yuan, reflecting a 20.5% year-on-year growth, with new energy vehicle thermal management products accounting for 42% of total revenue [7][8] International Expansion - The North American operations generated 790 million yuan in revenue in 2025H1, with a net profit of 30 million yuan, and the European segment is expected to turn profitable by year-end [2][17] - The company's Mexican factory achieved breakeven in Q4 2023, primarily producing thermal management products for North American customers [3][25] Growth Opportunities - The company is actively expanding into digital energy and robotics, with significant progress in product development and patent applications [4][33] - The digital energy business includes data center thermal management solutions, which are expected to become a new growth driver [28][30] Profitability Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 1.089 billion yuan, 1.385 billion yuan, and 1.625 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 1.30 yuan, 1.66 yuan, and 1.95 yuan [36]