2月15日深夜，加密货币市场跳水，以太坊跌近4%，比特币跌超1%。 多项指标预示，比特币一旦跌破60000美元大关，恐将引发新一轮的极端动荡。 渣打银行的分析师团队表示，作为加密货币的鼻祖，比特币在企稳前可能会一路跌至50,000美元。根据 Deribit的数据，该点位也是看跌期权未平仓合约量第二高的水平。 有分析师称，"我们接触到的每一个人在'短期'（无论他们如何定义短期）内都持悲观态度，这足以说 明目前的市场情绪和仓位布局。" 看跌期权赋予持有人在特定日期或之前以预定价格出售资产的权利。如果比特币向60000美元滑落，卖 出这些看跌期权的交易员为了对冲风险，往往会反向抛售比特币现货或期货，这无疑会产生额外的下行 压力。 Deribit数据显示，挂钩60000美元的看跌期权未平仓合约总额达12.4亿美元。 多位分析师都将200周均线视为核心支撑位。一旦失守，价格可能再面临近20%的回调。"如果持续跌破 60000/58000美元这一关键区域，可能会打开进一步下行的大门，回测40000美元上方附近的下一个支撑 位。" 责编:刘安琪 | 审核:李震 | 监审:古筝 根据Deribit的数据，比特币期权市场中规模 ...

Group 1: Cryptocurrency Market Reaction - Bitcoin dropped 2.6% to $104,823, Ethereum fell 8% to $2,539, and Solana plummeted 9.3% amid escalating tensions in the Middle East [1] - Investors are rapidly exiting risk-linked positions, with centralized exchanges experiencing a net outflow of $1.8 billion in the past 24 hours [1] - The ETH/USDC trading pair on decentralized platforms like Uniswap saw slippage increase to a rare 1.5% [1] Group 2: Derivatives and Interest Rate Speculation - SOFR futures experienced a historic inversion, with the March/June contract spread dropping to -15 basis points, indicating a bet on potential rate cuts after Powell's departure [3] - The spread inversion has surpassed levels seen during the 2019 repo crisis, highlighting significant market concerns regarding the Federal Reserve's independence [3] Group 3: Political and Financial Implications of Cryptocurrency - Trump's financial disclosure revealed $320 million in revenue from the meme coin $TRUMP, with a 24-hour trading volume of $470 million on PancakeSwap [4] - Trump's holdings in the World Liberty Financial project, valued over $5 billion, raise questions about regulatory oversight as he becomes a major player in the crypto space [4] Group 4: Banking Sector's Response to Cryptocurrency - Major banks including JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo are planning to issue a "bank chain stablecoin" to compete with tech giants [5] - The initiative aims to capture 30% of the stablecoin market share, with potential risks to small banks losing 25% of deposits if tech companies enter the space [5] Group 5: Financial Market Dynamics - COMEX gold futures surpassed $2,450, while 10-year Treasury yields dropped to 4.0%, indicating a shift in institutional hedging strategies [6] - The volume of Bitcoin put options on Deribit surged by 40%, with contracts priced at $100,000 reaching historical premium levels [6] - The ongoing financial power struggle is reshaping the landscape, with central banks and cryptocurrencies vying for dominance [6]