Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current status and future trends of the automotive ABS (Antilock Brake System) and ESC (Electronic Stability Control) systems in the Chinese market, highlighting the transition from traditional mechanical braking to electronic and intelligent systems, driven by regulatory requirements and technological advancements [3][10][14]. Market Development Status and Future Trends - The revenue from the automotive ABS and ESC systems in China is projected to reach 12.31 billion yuan in 2024, with an expected decline to 6.022 billion yuan by 2031, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -10.10% from 2025 to 2031 [3]. - The market is experiencing a shift towards electronic hydraulic brake (EHB) systems, particularly the One-Box solution, which integrates multiple functions and is expected to penetrate the market significantly, with over 10 million units installed by 2024 [10][13]. Industry Concentration and Competition Analysis - Major players in the Chinese market include Bosch, Continental, ZF, Aisin, and others, with the top three companies holding approximately 65.25% of the market share in 2024 [7]. Technological Evolution - The transition from traditional hydraulic braking to ABS and ESC systems has been rapid, with ESC installation rates exceeding 90% in new passenger vehicles since 2020 [10]. - In the commercial vehicle sector, the market is primarily dominated by pneumatic braking systems, with a projected EBS penetration rate of 80% by 2025 for key models [11][12]. Driving Factors - Regulatory requirements are a significant driver, with ABS and ESC becoming mandatory for all new passenger and commercial vehicles in China [14]. - The growth in vehicle ownership and sales, particularly in the new energy vehicle segment, is expanding the market for ABS and ESC systems [15]. - The development of intelligent driving and ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) is increasing the demand for enhanced vehicle dynamic control systems [16]. Constraints - The industry faces challenges such as reliance on imported high-end chips and core technologies, which creates barriers for domestic manufacturers [18]. - Intense price competition and the pressure on suppliers to reduce costs are compressing profit margins and limiting R&D investments [19]. - The lengthy certification process for new products poses significant entry barriers for new players in the market [20]. Supply Chain Analysis - The supply chain for automotive ABS and ESC systems includes upstream suppliers of raw materials, midstream manufacturers who integrate and assemble the systems, and downstream customers, primarily automotive OEMs [28][29]. - Key components of ABS and ESC systems include electronic control units (ECUs), hydraulic control units (HCUs), and various sensors, with a focus on technological integration and system performance [29][32].