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科德教育(300192)25H1点评:教育收入略有下滑 有望受益于中昊芯英资本运作
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 00:41
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 366 million yuan for H1 2025, a decrease of 1.15% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 53.28 million yuan, down 15.16% year-on-year [1][2] - The decline in education revenue is attributed to changes in parents' payment capabilities and increased competition in the education sector [2] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, anticipating improved profitability in H2 2025 due to the seasonal nature of its investments [3] Revenue Breakdown - Total revenue for H1 2025 was 366 million yuan, with the education training segment contributing 167 million yuan (down 3.9%) and the ink chemical chalk segment contributing 199 million yuan (up 1.3%) [1][2] - Dragon Gate Education's revenue decreased by 3.1%, while Tianjin Overseas Education's revenue fell by 15.0%, attributed to increased competition and recruitment challenges [2] Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin increased by 0.2 percentage points to 32.5%, with the education training segment's gross margin decreasing by 1.3 percentage points to 41.2%, and the ink chemical chalk segment's gross margin increasing by 2.0 percentage points to 25.2% [2] - The company experienced an increase in expense ratios, with sales expenses rising by 0.2 percentage points to 2.6%, management expenses by 0.4 percentage points to 7.3%, and R&D expenses by 0.4 percentage points to 2.4% [2] Investment Performance - The investment loss from the associate company Zhonghao Xinying expanded due to seasonal losses, with H1 2025 revenue of 102 million yuan (up 87.6%) and a net loss of 144 million yuan [2] - The company expects improved performance in H2 2025 as Zhonghao Xinying enters its peak revenue season [3] Future Outlook - The company projects net profits of 161 million yuan, 185 million yuan, and 210 million yuan for 2025 to 2027, with current stock price corresponding to PE ratios of 54x, 47x, and 41x respectively [3] - The company is focused on its investment in artificial intelligence chip development and plans to acquire controlling interest in Tianpu shares [3]