法興認購證16404

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21.4元分水嶺:紫金礦業短線多空博弈分析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-01 18:47
Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining's stock price is currently at 21.3 HKD, showing a 1.67% increase, indicating a critical turning point with mixed signals in short-term direction [1] Technical Analysis - The RSI is at 52, indicating a neutral zone, while the Williams and Stochastic indicators also show neutral signals, reflecting a strong market wait-and-see sentiment [2] - The MACD shows a sell signal, but the green momentum bars are shortening, suggesting a decrease in downward momentum [2] - The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with the stock price hovering near the middle band, indicating a potential upcoming directional choice [2] Key Price Levels - A significant support level is at 20.4 HKD; if breached, it may drop to a strong support area at 19.5 HKD. The initial resistance level is at 22.2 HKD, and a breakthrough could challenge the previous high of 23.3 HKD [3] - The Ichimoku Cloud indicates the stock price is above the cloud, but the conversion line and baseline show a bearish arrangement, suggesting ongoing medium-term adjustment pressure [3] - Momentum indicators signal a buy, which contradicts the neutral signal from the psychological line indicator [3] Signal Summary - The overall signals indicate a sell signal and neutral signals, with some buy signals present [5] Selected Warrant Strategies - The CCB call warrant 16128 offers a leverage of 3.8 times with an exercise price of 21.88 HKD, close to the current price, suitable for investors optimistic about a short-term rebound in Zijin Mining [6] - The Societe Generale call warrant 16404 has an exercise price of 25.33 HKD, 19.2% out of the money, with a leverage of 5.6 times [6] - The UBS call warrant 16416 also offers a leverage of 5.6 times with a premium of 25.41% and an exercise price of 25.33 HKD [6]