Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining's stock price is currently at 21.3 HKD, showing a 1.67% increase, indicating a critical turning point with mixed signals in short-term direction [1] Technical Analysis - The RSI is at 52, indicating a neutral zone, while the Williams and Stochastic indicators also show neutral signals, reflecting a strong market wait-and-see sentiment [2] - The MACD shows a sell signal, but the green momentum bars are shortening, suggesting a decrease in downward momentum [2] - The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with the stock price hovering near the middle band, indicating a potential upcoming directional choice [2] Key Price Levels - A significant support level is at 20.4 HKD; if breached, it may drop to a strong support area at 19.5 HKD. The initial resistance level is at 22.2 HKD, and a breakthrough could challenge the previous high of 23.3 HKD [3] - The Ichimoku Cloud indicates the stock price is above the cloud, but the conversion line and baseline show a bearish arrangement, suggesting ongoing medium-term adjustment pressure [3] - Momentum indicators signal a buy, which contradicts the neutral signal from the psychological line indicator [3] Signal Summary - The overall signals indicate a sell signal and neutral signals, with some buy signals present [5] Selected Warrant Strategies - The CCB call warrant 16128 offers a leverage of 3.8 times with an exercise price of 21.88 HKD, close to the current price, suitable for investors optimistic about a short-term rebound in Zijin Mining [6] - The Societe Generale call warrant 16404 has an exercise price of 25.33 HKD, 19.2% out of the money, with a leverage of 5.6 times [6] - The UBS call warrant 16416 also offers a leverage of 5.6 times with a premium of 25.41% and an exercise price of 25.33 HKD [6]

Core Viewpoint - The gold stock sector, particularly Zijin Mining (02899.HK), has become a focal point for capital as commodity prices stabilize globally, with the stock showing strong upward momentum since late June [1]. Technical Analysis - Zijin Mining has entered a strong upward channel with clear short to medium-term buy signals, making it one of the most attractive stocks in the gold resource sector for technical deployment [1]. - As of July 4, 2025, Zijin Mining's stock price was 21 HKD, down 1.18%, with a five-day volatility of 10.2%, indicating active capital inflow and strong buying interest [1]. - The stock price has stabilized above all major moving averages, with MA10 at 19.82 HKD, MA30 at 19 HKD, and MA60 at 18 HKD, forming a typical bullish arrangement that supports the short to medium-term upward trend [1]. - Technical summary signals indicate a "strong buy" with a signal strength of 16, suggesting a consensus among major indicators leaning towards bullish [6]. Market Performance - On June 30, Zijin Mining's stock price rose by 5.99%, and related call warrant products performed exceptionally well, with JPMorgan's call warrant 13311 and UBS's call warrant 15682 achieving a 29% increase within two trading days, demonstrating nearly five times leverage [1]. - The high consistency in performance among similar call warrant products reflects a trend where similar terms lead to converging movements in a bullish market environment, providing investors with diversified product options [1]. Momentum Indicators - The RSI currently stands at 74, indicating an overbought condition, but no significant signs of a pullback have emerged, suggesting that the strong trend continues [3]. - The MACD shows a continuous upward trend without negative divergence, indicating substantial buying support [3]. - Multiple support levels are identified at 20 HKD and 18.7 HKD, while the short-term resistance level is at 22.1 HKD; a breakthrough at this level could lead to challenges at higher resistance levels of 22.8 HKD or beyond [3]. Trading Strategy - If the stock price retraces to around 20 HKD without breaking below, it could be seen as an ideal entry opportunity [6]. - The first target price for a short to medium-term strategy is set at 22.1 HKD, with a potential upward movement towards 22.8 HKD if the resistance is breached [6]. - For those optimistic about Zijin Mining's performance, considering call warrants such as those issued by Bank of China (16128 and 16925) could be beneficial, with exercise prices of 21.88 HKD and 25.33 HKD, and leverage ratios of 3.4 and 4.9 respectively [6].