机构对海油发展给予综合目标价4.90元，较当前价上涨空间22.50%；预测2025年净利润同比增长 13.84%，营收微增1.31%。分析指出公司受益于能源安全战略和低碳转型，业务稳健，股息率超3%，但 需关注油价波动风险。 股票近期走势 2026年2月11日，受EIA上调原油价格预期影响，油气板块午后拉升，海油发展股价上涨3.76%，报收 4.42元，成交额4.44亿元，当日最高价达4.44元。近5日股价累计上涨4.99%，区间振幅7.60%，表现强于 大盘。2月10日主力资金净流出1010.22万元，但散户资金净流入1527.73万元。 机构观点 经济观察网 2026年1月15日，中国海油（600938）召开2026年工作会议，部署"十五五"规划，强调油气 主业稳增长和新能源融合发展。同日，海油发展（600968）公布惠州地区制冷站改造项目中标候选人， 显示业务活动持续。此外，中国海油加速海上风电布局，海油发展作为集团旗下公司，已参与风电运维 业务，新能源转型步伐加快。 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the offshore wind operation and maintenance (O&M) industry, highlighting its long-term growth potential driven by policy support and technological advancements [3][30]. Core Insights - The offshore wind O&M industry focuses on the lifecycle maintenance of offshore wind farms, ensuring the safe and efficient operation of wind turbines while minimizing lifecycle costs. The industry is characterized by high technical and cost requirements, extensive operational scope, and limited working windows [3][4]. - China's offshore wind resources are abundant, and the market is expanding due to strong government support. The installed capacity of offshore wind power in China has seen significant growth over the past decade, with expectations for continued expansion [3][30]. - By 2025, it is projected that China's newly installed capacity will reach 88 GW, indicating a stable increase in market size [30]. Industry Definition - The offshore wind O&M industry encompasses specialized services for the operation, maintenance, repair, and management of offshore wind farms, aiming to maximize generation efficiency and extend equipment lifespan while reducing lifecycle costs [4][5]. Industry Classification - The offshore wind O&M industry can be categorized based on service providers into three types: developer self-operation, manufacturer-contracted operation, and independent third-party operation [4][5]. Industry Characteristics - The industry features high operational technology and cost, extensive operational scope, and short working windows. The complexity of offshore environments leads to higher failure rates for offshore wind turbines compared to onshore ones [5][6][8]. Development History - The offshore wind O&M industry has evolved through four stages: initiation and acceleration (2001-2009), phase adjustment (2010-2013), stable development (2014-2020), and a new growth phase (2021-present) [9][10][12][14]. Market Size - The market size of the offshore wind O&M industry in China grew from 400 million RMB in 2017 to 7.52 billion RMB in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 52.06%. It is expected to reach 10.51 billion RMB by 2025 and 19.1 billion RMB by 2026, with a CAGR of 81.73% [27][28]. Future Market Drivers - The growth of the offshore wind O&M market is driven by large-scale offshore wind construction, policy support, and decreasing construction costs. The increasing number of offshore wind turbines reaching the end of their warranty period will also boost demand for O&M services [30][31].