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【窩輪透視】小鵬窩輪策略:認沽證與牛證如何應對超賣行情
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-29 17:27
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of the electric vehicle sector, particularly focusing on Xiaopeng Motors (09868), which is currently experiencing a bearish trend with technical indicators suggesting a potential buying opportunity due to oversold conditions [1][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - Xiaopeng Motors' stock closed at 72.65 HKD, down 1.29% with a trading volume of 828 million HKD, indicating a bearish trend as it is below the MA10 (78.25 HKD), MA30 (77.58 HKD), and MA60 (81.84 HKD) [1]. - The RSI for Xiaopeng Motors is at 37, indicating it is in the oversold territory, which suggests that the downward momentum may be exhausting, providing a potential buying signal [1]. - Other companies in the sector showed mixed performance, with NIO (09866) slightly up by 1.83% to 36.68 HKD, BYD (01211) down 0.20% to 98.3 HKD, Geely (00175) down 0.54% to 16.53 HKD, and Li Auto (02015) down 0.68% to 65.3 HKD [1]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Resistance levels for Xiaopeng Motors are at 77.3 HKD and 81.2 HKD, while support levels are at 70.8 HKD and 65.2 HKD, indicating the need to break through the MA10 and 77.3 HKD resistance to reverse the bearish trend [2]. - The article highlights that NIO and Geely are also showing buying signals due to their RSI nearing the oversold zone, while BYD's RSI is at 55, indicating a neutral to strong position [1]. Group 3: Derivative Products - The article reviews the performance of derivative products related to Xiaopeng Motors, noting that put options and bear certificates have performed well amid the stock's decline, with HSBC's bear certificate (55985) rising by 27% over two days [4]. - Two selected products are highlighted: 1. Morley Put Option (22381) with a leverage of 2.4 times and a strike price of 78.63 HKD, noted for its low premium and volatility, suitable for short-term adjustments [7]. 2. HSBC Bull Certificate (59442) with a leverage of 11.4 times and a recovery price of 68.68 HKD, recommended for investors expecting a rebound from the oversold area [7].