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SEA:2025Q3 财报点评:收入表现亮眼,电商加大物流基建布局
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-14 07:09
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][25]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of $6 billion in Q3 2025, representing a year-over-year growth of 38%, driven by strong performance in e-commerce, digital finance, and gaming, with respective growth rates of 35%, 61%, and 31% [1][9]. - The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $874 million, corresponding to a profit margin of 15%, while the net profit reached $380 million, with a net profit margin of 6% [1][9]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to $22.8 billion, $28.6 billion, and $32.9 billion, reflecting increases of 5%, 8%, and 8% respectively [3][21]. E-commerce Business - E-commerce revenue for Q3 2025 was $4.3 billion, up 35% year-over-year, attributed to rapid GMV growth of 28% and an increase in monetization rate from 11.0% to 11.7% [2][12]. - The adjusted EBITDA for the e-commerce segment was $186 million, with a profit margin of 4.3%, impacted by increased logistics investments [2][12]. Digital Finance - The digital finance segment achieved revenue of $990 million in Q3 2025, a 61% increase year-over-year, primarily driven by credit business growth [15]. - The adjusted EBITDA for this segment was $258 million, with a profit margin of 26%, and the total receivables reached $7.9 billion, up 70% year-over-year [15]. Digital Entertainment - Digital entertainment revenue was $650 million in Q3 2025, reflecting a 31% year-over-year increase, with total game revenue reaching $840 million, a 51% increase [16]. - The company expects over 30% growth in game revenue for 2025, supported by successful titles and a growing user base [19]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of $16.82 billion for 2024, $22.76 billion for 2025, and $28.57 billion for 2026, with respective growth rates of 28.8%, 35.3%, and 25.5% [5][23]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is $1.737 billion, reflecting a significant increase of 288% compared to 2024 [5][23].