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儒竞科技:公司信息更新报告:欧洲热泵有望持续回暖,汽车热管理成新增长点-20250427
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 06:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The European heat pump market is expected to continue its recovery, while automotive thermal management is emerging as a new growth point for the company [1][5] - The company reported a decline in overall performance in 2024, with a revenue of 1.297 billion yuan, down 16.02% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 168 million yuan, down 22.24% year-on-year, primarily due to a cooling heat pump market [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 351 million yuan, up 19.42% year-on-year, and a net profit of 53 million yuan, up 22.53% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend [4][5] Business Segments Summary 1. **HVAC/R Sector** - Revenue in 2024 was 817 million yuan, down 31.78% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 22.18%, down 3.19 percentage points [5] - The decline was attributed to the inventory destocking cycle in the European heat pump industry, but the long-term development logic remains unchanged [5] - New growth points include precision air conditioning, medical cold chain, and logistics cold chain applications [5] 2. **New Energy Vehicle Thermal Management** - Revenue in 2024 was 453 million yuan, up 47.23% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 29.04%, up 3.61 percentage points [5] - The company is expanding from cabin and battery thermal management to intelligent control of electric motors, enhancing its product line [5] 3. **Servo Drive and Control Systems** - Revenue in 2024 was 27 million yuan, down 31.77% year-on-year [5] - The company continues to invest in technology development and brand building in niche application industries and robotics [5] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 to be 270 million yuan and 389 million yuan, respectively, with an additional forecast for 2027 at 545 million yuan [4][7] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 2.86 yuan, 4.12 yuan, and 5.78 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][7] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 26.7, 18.5, and 13.2 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][7]
儒竞科技(301525):欧洲热泵有望持续回暖,汽车热管理成新增长点
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 05:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The European heat pump market is expected to continue its recovery, while automotive thermal management is emerging as a new growth point for the company [1][5] - The company reported a decline in overall performance in 2024, with a revenue of 1.297 billion yuan, down 16.02% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 168 million yuan, down 22.24% year-on-year, primarily due to a cooling heat pump market [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 351 million yuan, up 19.42% year-on-year, and a net profit of 53 million yuan, up 22.53% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend [4][5] Summary by Sections Business Segments - **HVAC/R Segment**: In 2024, revenue was 817 million yuan, down 31.78% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 22.18%, down 3.19 percentage points. The decline was attributed to the heat pump industry's destocking cycle, but the long-term growth logic remains unchanged [5] - **New Energy Vehicle Thermal Management**: Revenue reached 453 million yuan in 2024, up 47.23% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 29.04%, up 3.61 percentage points. The company is expanding from cabin and battery thermal management to intelligent control of electric motors [5] - **Servo Drive and Control Systems**: Revenue was 27 million yuan in 2024, down 31.77%. The company continues to invest in technology development and brand building in niche applications and robotics markets [5] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - **Revenue Forecast**: Expected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.15 billion yuan, 2.98 billion yuan, and 3.87 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 65.7%, 38.6%, and 29.8% [7] - **Net Profit Forecast**: Projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 270 million yuan, 389 million yuan, and 545 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 60.4%, 44.0%, and 40.2% [7] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.86 yuan, 4.12 yuan, and 5.78 yuan, respectively [7]