Core Viewpoints - The article discusses four main areas of non-consensus regarding Li Auto, including perceptions of Li Xiang's capabilities, reasons for the company's poor sales this year, the direction and ultimate goals of smart vehicles, and the prospects of physical AI [1][2]. Group 1: Non-Consensus Areas - The first area of non-consensus revolves around how to evaluate Li Xiang's abilities and the implications of leadership errors [1]. - The second area focuses on differing opinions regarding the reasons behind Li Auto's disappointing sales performance this year [1]. - The third area addresses the advanced directions and ultimate goals of smart vehicles, highlighting two main schools of thought: one prioritizing high sales models and the other focusing on end goals [3][4]. - The fourth area concerns the future of physical AI, including its exploration necessity and potential pathways for realization [1]. Group 2: Bayesian Reasoning - The article emphasizes that differing beliefs about the future stem from individuals' Bayesian reasoning, where the strength of prior beliefs and the likelihood of new evidence vary among people [1]. - Those who "believe it to see it" tend to have strong priors that may lead to a higher tolerance for errors, while those who "see it to believe it" have weaker priors, making them more responsive to new evidence [2]. Group 3: Smart Vehicle Directions - Two main factions exist regarding the direction of smart vehicles: one that focuses on high sales models and another that starts with the end goal in mind [3][4]. - The "high sales model" faction emphasizes current successful vehicle features, while the "end goal" faction believes in a future defined by AI and automated driving [5]. Group 4: Evaluation of Li Auto's Strategy - The article notes that perceptions of Li Auto's long-term strategy and capabilities vary significantly, with some believing in the company's potential for recovery through iterative improvements, while others doubt Li Xiang's abilities due to repeated errors [6]. - The evaluation of Li Auto's products and strategies is influenced by whether individuals focus on immediate performance or the foundational principles guiding the company's design [5][6].