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中芯國際(00981)突破50元關口!53.3元阻力位成關鍵
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-25 05:27
Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor industry is experiencing a recovery, and SMIC's stock has shown strong performance, with a current price of 50.7 HKD, up 4% [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price has stabilized above the 10-day moving average of 47.21 HKD and the 30-day moving average of 44.06 HKD, indicating a positive mid-term trend [1] - MACD has formed a golden cross, and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands is trending upwards, suggesting bullish momentum [1] - However, the RSI indicator at 73 indicates an overbought condition, and the Williams indicator shows a sell signal, suggesting a potential need for consolidation before challenging the resistance at 53.3 HKD [1] - Key support is at 46.7 HKD, with a potential drop to 43.4 HKD if this level is breached; resistance is at 53.3 HKD, with a breakthrough potentially leading to a challenge at 55.6 HKD [1] - Despite the bullish indicators, the momentum oscillators show divergence, indicating possible short-term volatility [1] Market Opportunities - Bullish strategies include UBS call options 15627 (strike price 58.93 HKD, 4.4x leverage) with the lowest premium, and UBS call options 13340 (strike price 58.05 HKD, 3.9x leverage) with the lowest implied volatility [6] - HSBC bull certificate 56886 (redemption price 43 HKD, 5.4x actual leverage) and UBS bull certificate 58014 (redemption price 43.1 HKD, 5.7x actual leverage) are also good choices for bullish strategies [6] - For bearish strategies, Societe Generale bear certificate 67110 (redemption price 55 HKD, 10.6x actual leverage) and UBS bear certificate 58475 (redemption price 54.5 HKD, 10.6x actual leverage) provide hedging options [6] Market Sentiment - There is market speculation on how long SMIC's current upward momentum can last amid the semiconductor industry's recovery [9] - Investors are considering whether the stock price will first test the support at 46.7 HKD or directly challenge the resistance at 53.3 HKD [9]