美團股價近日呈現震盪格局，最新價位守在100元關口，目前反弹0.9%，股价报100.8元。顯示多空雙方正在激烈博弈。從技術角度觀察，股價目前處於關鍵的區間內 波動，短期移動平均線MA10位於101.79元，略高於當前價位，而MA30和MA60分別在101.06元及103.14元，形成一道阻力帶，暗示上行空間可能受限。不過，RSI指 標處於48水平，屬於中立區域，尚未出現超買或超賣信號，其他震盪指標如ADX和MACD則發出買入信號，顯示動能可能正在積聚，但隨機震盪指標卻提示賣出，這 種矛盾現象正反映出市場的不確定性。投資者應密切關注價格能否站穩支持位，並結合成交額變化來判斷趨勢強度。 在支持與阻力分析方面，美團的短期支持位分別位於96.8元及93.5元，這兩個水平若被跌破，可能引發進一步的下行壓力；反之，阻力位則在103.2元及106.5 元，若能成功突破，或可開啟反彈空間。考慮到5日振幅達4.9%，股價波動性相對較高，這為短線交易者提供了機會，但同時也伴隨著風險。從上升概率 55%來看，市場略偏向樂觀，但投資者需謹慎評估整體市況，避免盲目跟進。 回顧近期窩輪和牛熊證市場表現，在美團正股下跌時，認沽證和熊證產品 ...

Core Viewpoint - Meituan's stock performance has been disappointing recently, with a decline from a high of 136.1 HKD to a current price of 120.8 HKD, indicating a bearish trend in the market [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The technical signals for Meituan indicate a "sell" with 11 sell signals and 1 buy signal, suggesting a bearish outlook [1]. - Key support levels are identified at 111.6 HKD and 110.7 HKD, while the resistance level is at 126.7 HKD [3]. - The stock has broken below the 10-day moving average (MA10) of 123.9 HKD and the 30-day moving average (MA30) of 124.79 HKD, approaching the 60-day moving average (MA60) of 130.54 HKD [1]. Market Sentiment - Investors are cautious, as indicated by a low trading amplitude of 2.7% over the past five days, reflecting a lack of confidence in the market [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 42, nearing the oversold territory, yet the overall downward momentum remains strong [1][3]. Derivative Products - Bearish products have performed well during Meituan's decline, with UBS's bear certificate rising by 10% and other related products showing significant gains [3]. - Selected bullish products include call options from Bank of China and HSBC, with exercise prices at 133.1 HKD, offering leverage of 7.9-8.2 times [6]. - Bearish options include UBS and JPMorgan put options with exercise prices around 99.94 HKD, providing 4 times leverage [6]. Trading Activity - On the morning of the report, Meituan's stock price was at 120 HKD, down 0.75% from the previous close, continuing its weak performance [1]. - The trading volume for Meituan's related products indicates active market participation, with significant movements in both bullish and bearish certificates [5][9].