瑞銀認購證16466

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中化(386)整理態勢明確,方向選擇近在眼前
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-10 17:54
Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Sinochem (386) is currently at HKD 4.2, reflecting a slight increase of 0.48%, with market participation gradually increasing as indicated by a 1.70% price fluctuation over the past five days [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The support levels for the stock are at HKD 4.1 and HKD 4.04, while resistance levels are at HKD 4.26 and HKD 4.32. The current price trend is neutral to bullish, with the market awaiting a breakout signal [1][3]. - Technical ratings have shown two consecutive days of "neutral" signals, with a system assessment indicating a 54% probability of price increase, suggesting a maintained short-term bullish trend [1][3]. Market Opportunities - A successful breakout above HKD 4.26 could attract more capital, challenging the resistance at HKD 4.32. Conversely, a drop below HKD 4.1 may lead to a corrective structure, potentially revisiting the HKD 4.04 area for new buying opportunities [3]. - In the warrants market, Sinochem's recent stock price volatility has provided trading opportunities. The call warrant 15008 offers a leverage of 16 times, suitable for aggressive investors, with an exercise price of HKD 4.88 [3][7]. - UBS call warrant 16466 and JPMorgan call warrant 16450 provide leverage of 8.6 times and 8.9 times, respectively, both with an exercise price of HKD 4.87, appealing to conservative investors seeking potential upward movements [3][7]. - The bull certificate from Societe Generale (62915) offers a leverage of 7.3 times with a recovery price set at HKD 3.55, making it attractive for investors expecting steady price increases [3][7]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to choose based on their risk preferences: aggressive investors may consider warrant 15008, balanced investors may opt for UBS 16466 or JPMorgan 16450, while those preferring bull certificates should focus on Societe Generale 62915 [7]. - It is recommended to monitor volume changes closely, especially for potential breakout confirmations at key resistance levels, and to adopt a range trading or phased layout strategy to capture swing opportunities [7].