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鼎捷数智(300378):AI+产品订单向好 25年期待利润端增长
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:50
Core Insights - The company's 2024 performance slightly underperformed expectations, while 1Q25 results were generally in line with forecasts [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 2.33 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 156 million, up 3.6% year-on-year [1] - The 4Q24 revenue was 758 million, a decrease of 6.8% year-on-year, while net profit was 106 million, an increase of 4% year-on-year [1] - For 1Q25, revenue reached 423 million, a year-on-year increase of 4.3%, with a net loss of 8 million, reducing losses by 14% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Business Segments and Growth - Revenue from mainland China in 2024 was 1.18 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2%, while revenue from non-mainland regions was 1.15 billion, up 8% year-on-year [2] - AI-related products in Taiwan saw significant growth, with a 135% increase in revenue and a 58% rise in net profit in 2024 [2] - In 1Q25, signed orders in Southeast Asia increased by 33% year-on-year, indicating overseas expansion as a new growth driver [2] Group 3: Profitability and Margins - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 58%, a decrease of 4 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a higher proportion of lower-margin AIoT-related businesses [2] - In 1Q25, the gross margin rebounded to 60%, an increase of 4 percentage points year-on-year, with expectations of reduced stock incentive and share payment expenses in 2025 [2] Group 4: Forecasts and Valuation - The revenue forecast for 2025 has been revised down by 9% to 2.564 billion due to fluctuations in demand from mainland customers, while net profit estimates remain largely unchanged [3] - Revenue forecasts for 2026 have been introduced at 2.852 billion, with net profit projected at 249 million [3] - The target price has been raised by 26% to 39 yuan, based on a 50 times P/E ratio for 2025, indicating a 15% upside potential from the current stock price [3]