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朗新集团(300682)2024年报&2025一季报点评:聚焦双轮驱动 携手蚂蚁构筑强大生态
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-23 08:40
Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to face performance pressure in 2024 due to the divestiture of non-core businesses, but is projected to experience long-term growth driven by dual development in energy digitalization and energy internet, along with strengthened ecological cooperation and AI-enabled new applications [1] Investment Highlights - The investment recommendation is maintained at "Buy" with a target price raised to 17.76 yuan (+2.39). The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.44 (-0.20), 0.56 (-0.19), and 0.67 yuan respectively. The average PE for comparable companies in 2025 is 29.09X. Given the company's focus on dual development strategy and accelerated performance growth through AI-enabled platform electricity trading, a 40 times PE is assigned for 2025, corresponding to the target price of 17.76 yuan, maintaining the "Buy" rating [2] - In 2024, the company is expected to face performance pressure with total revenue of 4.479 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.24%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be -250 million yuan, compared to 604 million yuan in the same period of 2023, primarily due to the divestiture and restructuring losses of non-core businesses, leading to goodwill and inventory impairments and one-time financial impacts. In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 667 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.12% year-on-year, but turned a profit with a net profit of 3 million yuan, an increase of 22 million yuan year-on-year, with a gross margin of 48.39%, up 3.18 percentage points [2][3] Strategic Focus - The company continues to focus on dual development in energy digitalization and energy internet, collaborating with Ant Group to build a strong ecosystem. With over 27 years in the electric energy sector, the company is seizing new opportunities from electricity market reform and the construction of new power systems. Since 2013, the company has partnered with Ant Group to develop life payment service scenarios, and by the end of 2024, Ant Group will be the company's second-largest shareholder. Additionally, the company is closely cooperating with Ant Group in digital payment and technology, expanding services in countries like Indonesia and the Philippines [3] - The company is fully embracing the AI era, shifting from customer-driven to AI-driven business. Significant investments are being made in AI research and applications, with the establishment of an AI research institute in 2023 focusing on three main areas: electricity market trading prediction, energy intelligent applications, and energy-specific large models. The company is enhancing its "AI + Energy" strategy, increasing research and practice in AI platform construction, time series prediction models, and AI intelligent applications, thereby improving resource adjustment capabilities and supply-demand matching. Successful AI electricity spot trading has been implemented in provinces like Guangdong and Shandong, and the "New Electric Rabbit" AI charging assistant has been launched to provide intelligent charging services for electric vehicle users [4]