生育健康业务

Search documents
华大基因(300676):1Q费用率及毛利率影响净利润表现
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:43
Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with expectations for improvement driven by cost control and AI integration in the future [1][2][3] Financial Performance - 2024 revenue, net profit attributable to parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items are projected at 38.67 billion, -9.03 billion, and -9.19 billion respectively, showing year-on-year declines of -11.1%, -1072%, and -1091% [1] - For Q1 2025, revenue, net profit attributable to parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items are expected to be 6.72 billion, -0.53 billion, and -0.63 billion respectively, with year-on-year declines of -18%, -525%, and -2879% [1] - The 2024 performance aligns with expectations, but Q1 2025 shows increased pressure on net profit growth due to extended customer payment cycles and rising expense ratios [1] Business Segments - The reproductive health business in 2024 saw a revenue decline of 2.5% year-on-year, totaling 11.49 billion, influenced by fertility rates and testing prices [1] - The company is expanding its first and third-level prevention services, with notable revenue growth in carrier screening (+12.3%), chromosome abnormality detection (+2.4%), newborn genetic disease screening (+47.4%), and hereditary disease testing (+53.1%) [1] - Revenue from tumor and chronic disease prevention in 2024 reached 6.25 billion, reflecting a stable growth of 19.0% year-on-year, driven by government collaboration and industry-academia cooperation [1] Multi-Omics and Precision Medicine - Multi-omics big data service revenue in 2024 was 6.67 billion, down 5.6% year-on-year, primarily due to international geopolitical factors affecting the Americas [2] - Precision medicine revenue for 2024 was 13.29 billion, also down 5.6% year-on-year, largely due to a significant decline in COVID-related revenue; excluding this, the revenue grew by 22.4% year-on-year [2] Expense and Profitability Metrics - In 2024, the sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios were 26.12%, 10.59%, 15.68%, and -1.30%, showing increases of 2.29, 1.42, 3.52, and a decrease of 0.25 percentage points year-on-year [2] - For Q1 2025, these ratios were 24.22%, 11.02%, 17.46%, and -4.09%, with year-on-year changes of +3.53, -1.11, +4.51, and -2.85 percentage points [2] - The gross profit margins for 2024 and Q1 2025 were 41.47% and 43.55%, reflecting declines of 8.43 and 5.65 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to lower margins in certain business segments [2] Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its revenue expectations for the reproductive health business downward while increasing projections for sales and R&D expense ratios [3] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are set at 42.6 billion, 47.4 billion, and 52.6 billion, with net profit attributable to parent at 0.28 billion, 0.76 billion, and 1.01 billion respectively [3] - The company maintains a target price of 52.19, reflecting a 5.1x price-to-sales ratio for 2025, consistent with industry averages [3]