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分众传媒(002027):收购新潮传媒竞争格局改善 看好消费提振带来增长机会
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 12:38
Core Viewpoint - The company reported steady revenue and profit growth for 2024 and Q1 2025, benefiting from consumer spending and strategic acquisitions [1][3] Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved revenue of 12.262 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.01%, and a net profit of 5.155 billion yuan, up 6.80% [1] - In Q1 2025, revenue reached 2.858 billion yuan, growing 4.70%, with a net profit of 1.135 billion yuan, an increase of 9.14% [1] - The company's core net profit, excluding non-recurring items, was 4.668 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a 6.73% year-on-year growth [1] Market Dynamics - The fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector saw a revenue increase of 13.40%, accounting for 61.90% of total revenue, indicating strong advertising contributions from this category [1] - The acquisition of New潮传媒 is expected to improve competitive dynamics and enhance bargaining power in the supply chain [1][2] Acquisition Details - The estimated price for acquiring 100% of New潮传媒 is 8.3 billion yuan, primarily paid through shares at a price of 5.68 yuan per share [2] - New潮传媒 operates approximately 740,000 smart screens across about 200 cities, with revenues of 1.940 billion yuan in 2022, 1.932 billion yuan in 2023, and 1.497 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, showing a narrowing loss trend [2] Future Outlook - The company expects revenue growth to reach 12.92 billion yuan in 2025, 13.60 billion yuan in 2026, and 14.34 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits projected at 5.53 billion yuan, 6.06 billion yuan, and 6.60 billion yuan respectively [3] - The current price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.5, 16.9, and 15.5 for 2025-2027 [3]