21世纪传媒 · 公众号矩阵成员。 记者丨 韩利明 实习生蒋雨桐 编辑丨季媛媛 曾静娇 张伟贤 日前，有媒体报道称，爱尔眼科（300015.SZ）正在考虑赴港IPO上市。对此，21世纪经济报道记者致电爱尔 眼科方面，相关工作人员表示 "相关事宜请以公司官方公告为准"，未对此事做进一步解释。 赴港上市传闻背后，这家民营眼科连锁巨头正面临较为严峻的发展考验。资本市场层面，2009年，爱尔眼科 以28元/股的发行价登陆深交所创业板，2021年股价一度涨超41元/股（前复权）。随后，爱尔眼科股价震荡 下跌， 当前徘徊在10元/股附近，较峰值跌去超七成， 到如今市值蒸发超2500亿元，目前 缩水至1000亿元左 右。 业绩表现上， 爱尔眼科营收增速已连续多年呈现下滑态势。 数据显示，2024年营业收入同比仅增长3.02%， 较2023年26.43%的同比增速大幅放缓；同期归母净利润同比增长5.87%，同样低于2023年33.07%的增速。进 入2025年，业绩压力进一步凸显。 以下文章来源于21新健康 ，作者韩利明，蒋雨桐 21新健康 . 与此同时，爱尔眼科旗下医院频繁出现的违规处罚及医疗纠纷，正侵蚀公司的品牌声誉与公 ...

Core Insights - The company reported 2024 revenue and net profit of 4.027 billion and 429 million yuan, respectively, showing a year-on-year growth of 0.4% and a decline of 35.6%, which was below the Wind consensus estimate of 563 million yuan, attributed to temporary disruptions from industry demand slowdown and intensified competition, along with increased short-term investments in personnel and equipment [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue and net profit of 1.093 billion and 150 million yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 11.7% and a slight decline of 4.0%, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.3% and a significant rise of 1824.0%, indicating a marginal acceleration in performance [1] - The company announced a 2025 employee stock ownership plan, with performance assessment indicators requiring a minimum growth rate of 10%/20%/30% in revenue or net profit for 2025/2026/2027 compared to 2024, demonstrating long-term growth confidence [1] Revenue Growth by Segment - The consumer ophthalmology segment led the overall revenue growth in 2024, with refractive and optometry revenues of 1.296 billion and 1.069 billion yuan, respectively, showing year-on-year increases of 7.4% and 5.2%, supported by an improved diagnostic network and the introduction of various refractive and optometry projects, with expectations for steady growth in 2025 [2] - The posterior segment projects generated 536 million yuan in revenue in 2024, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.2%, driven by the company's leading capabilities in complex eye disease treatment and clear demand for related services, with positive expectations for 2025 [2] - The cataract segment reported 873 million yuan in revenue, down 11.6% year-on-year, likely due to a high base from the rapid recovery of treatments post-pandemic in 2023; however, with increasing market penetration and a growing share of high-end cataract procedures, the segment is expected to return to growth in 2025 [2] Service Network Expansion - The company has been actively enhancing its service network through a dual strategy of organic growth and acquisitions, having established 62 ophthalmology specialty hospitals and 66 optometry centers by the end of 2024, compared to 57 and 60 at the end of 2023, respectively, creating a nationwide diagnostic service network [3] - Strategic acquisitions in 2024 included four ophthalmology hospitals, and several others have commenced operations, positioning the company as a large medical chain group with "dual top-tier" ophthalmology hospitals [3] Competitive Positioning - The company is expected to leverage the advantages of its benchmark hospitals to continuously enhance its overall competitiveness [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Considering the impact of new refractive procedures and increased personnel and equipment investments on sales and management expense ratios, the projected EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.57, 0.66, and 0.76 yuan, reflecting a downward adjustment of 22% for 2025 and 2026 compared to previous estimates [5] - The company is assigned a 40x PE for 2025, compared to a consensus average of 34x for comparable companies, leading to a target price of 22.87 yuan, down from a previous estimate of 27.03 yuan, which corresponded to a 37x PE [5]